Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on September 1 will likely reach 32–33 °C under mostly sunny skies, consistent with the market's strong implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning reflects stable late-summer conditions in the eastern Mediterranean, where seasonal averages for early September hover near 30–31 °C and subsidence from high pressure suppresses cloud formation and rainfall. Model consensus shows minimal deviation expected in the final 48 hours, with light northwest winds and low humidity supporting modest warming above climatological baselines. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of possible realizations, noting that any last-minute shift in steering flow could alter peak readings by 1–2 °C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日特拉维夫的最高温度?
33°C 57%
32°C 40%
34°C 5%
31°C 3%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
40%
33°C
57%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
32°C 40%
34°C 5%
31°C 3%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
40%
33°C
57%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on September 1 will likely reach 32–33 °C under mostly sunny skies, consistent with the market's strong implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning reflects stable late-summer conditions in the eastern Mediterranean, where seasonal averages for early September hover near 30–31 °C and subsidence from high pressure suppresses cloud formation and rainfall. Model consensus shows minimal deviation expected in the final 48 hours, with light northwest winds and low humidity supporting modest warming above climatological baselines. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of possible realizations, noting that any last-minute shift in steering flow could alter peak readings by 1–2 °C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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