Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS points to a maximum of 25–26°C in Paris on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, light west-northwest winds, and stable high pressure around 1022–1023 hPa with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (49.5%) and 26°C (31.5%), reflecting ensemble spreads and minor variations in official station measurements like those from Météo-France. Recent runs show consistent mild conditions near the September climatological average high of ~23.5°C, with no significant model shifts or incoming fronts to alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日巴黎最高气温?
25°C 51%
26°C 32%
24°C 14%
27°C 6%
$33,136 交易量
$33,136 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
51%
26°C
32%
27°C
6%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 32%
24°C 14%
27°C 6%
$33,136 交易量
$33,136 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
51%
26°C
32%
27°C
6%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS points to a maximum of 25–26°C in Paris on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, light west-northwest winds, and stable high pressure around 1022–1023 hPa with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (49.5%) and 26°C (31.5%), reflecting ensemble spreads and minor variations in official station measurements like those from Météo-France. Recent runs show consistent mild conditions near the September climatological average high of ~23.5°C, with no significant model shifts or incoming fronts to alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题