Recent forecasts from global models and meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 2 near 14°C under a stable high-pressure regime with surface pressures around 1023 hPa and light northwesterly winds. Clear to partly cloudy skies promote radiational cooling after sunset, while dew points near 13°C and minimal cloud cover limit further drops, consistent with the historical average minimum of 13.1°C for the date. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 13°C (36%) and 14°C (30%) because ensemble guidance shows only modest variability in boundary-layer mixing and no incoming frontal systems to alter the thermal profile before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日巴黎最低气温?
13°C 36%
14°C 30%
15°C 17%
16°C 13%
10°C或以下
10%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
36%
14°C
30%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C
7%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C或更高
1%
13°C 36%
14°C 30%
15°C 17%
16°C 13%
10°C或以下
10%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
36%
14°C
30%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C
7%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from global models and meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 2 near 14°C under a stable high-pressure regime with surface pressures around 1023 hPa and light northwesterly winds. Clear to partly cloudy skies promote radiational cooling after sunset, while dew points near 13°C and minimal cloud cover limit further drops, consistent with the historical average minimum of 13.1°C for the date. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 13°C (36%) and 14°C (30%) because ensemble guidance shows only modest variability in boundary-layer mixing and no incoming frontal systems to alter the thermal profile before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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