Subseasonal outlooks from the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre highlight drier and warmer-than-usual conditions across southern ASEAN through early September 2026, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow and limited Madden-Julian Oscillation activity. Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including hourly guidance showing afternoon peaks near 32–33°C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, align with this signal and historical September maxima around 31.6°C. These factors position 33°C as the leading market outcome at 59.5% implied probability, with 32°C and 34°C as secondary options, though forecast uncertainty remains due to potential localized thunderstorm development and model spread on exact cloud cover. Updated Meteorological Service Singapore guidance and fresh ensemble runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡9月1日的最高温度?
33°C 60%
32°C 27%
34°C 12%
35°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
27%
33°C
60%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 60%
32°C 27%
34°C 12%
35°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
27%
33°C
60%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Subseasonal outlooks from the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre highlight drier and warmer-than-usual conditions across southern ASEAN through early September 2026, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow and limited Madden-Julian Oscillation activity. Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including hourly guidance showing afternoon peaks near 32–33°C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, align with this signal and historical September maxima around 31.6°C. These factors position 33°C as the leading market outcome at 59.5% implied probability, with 32°C and 34°C as secondary options, though forecast uncertainty remains due to potential localized thunderstorm development and model spread on exact cloud cover. Updated Meteorological Service Singapore guidance and fresh ensemble runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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