Recent forecasts from the Singapore Meteorological Service and international models indicate afternoon highs of 32–34°C on August 31 under prevailing southwest monsoon flow, with localized thundery showers offering limited daytime cooling. Recent station observations at Changi have frequently reached 33–34°C amid below-average rainfall and strong insolation, supporting the market's 53% implied probability on 33°C. Historical August maxima average near 31.4°C but have trended higher this month, while the narrow spread of outcomes reflects low forecast uncertainty and the resolution source's precision at the official Changi station. Minor model differences center on shower timing rather than peak temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月31日的最高温度?
33°C 53%
32°C 36%
34°C 9%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
36%
33°C
53%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 53%
32°C 36%
34°C 9%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
36%
33°C
53%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Singapore Meteorological Service and international models indicate afternoon highs of 32–34°C on August 31 under prevailing southwest monsoon flow, with localized thundery showers offering limited daytime cooling. Recent station observations at Changi have frequently reached 33–34°C amid below-average rainfall and strong insolation, supporting the market's 53% implied probability on 33°C. Historical August maxima average near 31.4°C but have trended higher this month, while the narrow spread of outcomes reflects low forecast uncertainty and the resolution source's precision at the official Changi station. Minor model differences center on shower timing rather than peak temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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