Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Guangzhou through August 31 are introducing greater cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70%, and northerly winds that enhance evaporative cooling, keeping model consensus for the September 2 maximum clustered around 30–32°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest divergence on the timing of any clearing and the strength of daytime heating, which explains why 31°C and 30°C lead the market while 34°C and 35°C+ retain meaningful implied probability. Historical September averages near 32.9°C provide context, but the near-term convective regime adds uncertainty that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日广州气温最高？
9月2日广州气温最高？
30°C 24%
31°C 17%
29°C 14%
32°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
14%
30°C
24%
31°C
17%
32°C
13%
33°C
7%
34°C
11%
35°C或更高
11%
30°C 24%
31°C 17%
29°C 14%
32°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
25°C或以下
$319 交易量
<1%
26°C
$146 交易量
7%
27°C
$17 交易量
4%
28°C
$261 交易量
8%
29°C
$232 交易量
14%
30°C
$274 交易量
24%
31°C
$780 交易量
17%
32°C
$519 交易量
13%
33°C
$338 交易量
7%
34°C
$925 交易量
11%
35°C或更高
$58 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Guangzhou through August 31 are introducing greater cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70%, and northerly winds that enhance evaporative cooling, keeping model consensus for the September 2 maximum clustered around 30–32°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest divergence on the timing of any clearing and the strength of daytime heating, which explains why 31°C and 30°C lead the market while 34°C and 35°C+ retain meaningful implied probability. Historical September averages near 32.9°C provide context, but the near-term convective regime adds uncertainty that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,869结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Guangzhou through August 31 are introducing greater cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70%, and northerly winds that enhance evaporative cooling, keeping model consensus for the September 2 maximum clustered around 30–32°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest divergence on the timing of any clearing and the strength of daytime heating, which explains why 31°C and 30°C lead the market while 34°C and 35°C+ retain meaningful implied probability. Historical September averages near 32.9°C provide context, but the near-term convective regime adds uncertainty that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,869结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Guangzhou through August 31 are introducing greater cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70%, and northerly winds that enhance evaporative cooling, keeping model consensus for the September 2 maximum clustered around 30–32°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest divergence on the timing of any clearing and the strength of daytime heating, which explains why 31°C and 30°C lead the market while 34°C and 35°C+ retain meaningful implied probability. Historical September averages near 32.9°C provide context, but the near-term convective regime adds uncertainty that traders weigh against official guidance updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题