Wellington, New Zealand, experiences peak September gusts shaped by its exposure to the Roaring Forties and funneling through Cook Strait, where springtime low-pressure systems and associated fronts from the Southern Ocean drive the strongest winds. Early September 2026 observations show sustained northwesterlies around 30–45 km/h with gusts in the 50–70 km/h range, consistent with climatological baselines, while a lingering super El Niño may favor more frequent westerly events. The near-even split between 102 km/h or above and lower brackets reflects genuine forecast uncertainty over the remaining 26 days, as model runs diverge on the timing, intensity, and track of additional fronts; historical September maxima at Wellington Airport often exceed 100 km/h during active periods, but calm spells can keep peaks below 90 km/h. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and MetService warnings will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于102 km/h or above 51%
89 km/h or below 49%
90 to 101 km/h 49%
89 km/h or below
49%
90 to 101 km/h
49%
102 km/h or above
51%
102 km/h or above 51%
89 km/h or below 49%
90 to 101 km/h 49%
89 km/h or below
49%
90 to 101 km/h
49%
102 km/h or above
51%
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
Wellington, New Zealand, experiences peak September gusts shaped by its exposure to the Roaring Forties and funneling through Cook Strait, where springtime low-pressure systems and associated fronts from the Southern Ocean drive the strongest winds. Early September 2026 observations show sustained northwesterlies around 30–45 km/h with gusts in the 50–70 km/h range, consistent with climatological baselines, while a lingering super El Niño may favor more frequent westerly events. The near-even split between 102 km/h or above and lower brackets reflects genuine forecast uncertainty over the remaining 26 days, as model runs diverge on the timing, intensity, and track of additional fronts; historical September maxima at Wellington Airport often exceed 100 km/h during active periods, but calm spells can keep peaks below 90 km/h. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and MetService warnings will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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