**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and multiple models points to a maximum of 21–23°C on August 31 in London, with 22°C as the most probable single value.** Westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and isolated showers are expected to moderate temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~21.9°C for the date. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs clustering around 70–72°F (21–22°C) under these conditions. The market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (46.5%) reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the shares for 21°C and 23°C capture residual uncertainty from exact timing of any cloud breaks or showers. Lower probabilities for 24°C or higher align with the absence of strong high pressure or southerly flow that could produce warmer outcomes. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office, will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日伦敦气温最高？
8月31日伦敦气温最高？
22°C 45%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
25%
22°C
45%
23°C
20%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
16°C or below
$278 交易量
<1%
17°C
$178 交易量
<1%
18°C
$18 交易量
1%
19°C
$18 交易量
2%
20°C
$126 交易量
8%
21°C
$221 交易量
25%
22°C
$1,229 交易量
45%
23°C
$591 交易量
20%
24°C
$99 交易量
6%
25°C
$65 交易量
2%
26°C or higher
$75 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and multiple models points to a maximum of 21–23°C on August 31 in London, with 22°C as the most probable single value.** Westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and isolated showers are expected to moderate temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~21.9°C for the date. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs clustering around 70–72°F (21–22°C) under these conditions.
The market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (46.5%) reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the shares for 21°C and 23°C capture residual uncertainty from exact timing of any cloud breaks or showers. Lower probabilities for 24°C or higher align with the absence of strong high pressure or southerly flow that could produce warmer outcomes. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office, will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,898结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and multiple models points to a maximum of 21–23°C on August 31 in London, with 22°C as the most probable single value.** Westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and isolated showers are expected to moderate temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~21.9°C for the date. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs clustering around 70–72°F (21–22°C) under these conditions.
The market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (46.5%) reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the shares for 21°C and 23°C capture residual uncertainty from exact timing of any cloud breaks or showers. Lower probabilities for 24°C or higher align with the absence of strong high pressure or southerly flow that could produce warmer outcomes. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office, will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,898结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and multiple models points to a maximum of 21–23°C on August 31 in London, with 22°C as the most probable single value.** Westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and isolated showers are expected to moderate temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average high of ~21.9°C for the date. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs clustering around 70–72°F (21–22°C) under these conditions. The market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (46.5%) reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the shares for 21°C and 23°C capture residual uncertainty from exact timing of any cloud breaks or showers. Lower probabilities for 24°C or higher align with the absence of strong high pressure or southerly flow that could produce warmer outcomes. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office, will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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