Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a minimum near 10°C for Buenos Aires on September 2 under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds, close to the early-spring climatological average. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable steering flows and potential for enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling if clouds clear, while recent polar-air intrusions later in the week highlight how quickly cold advection can alter overnight lows. Trader-implied odds clustered near 7–9°C bins reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single dominant signal, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of the daily minimum relative to official observation criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
16°C 80%
17°C或更高 79%
10°C 77%
13°C 75%
7°C或以下
52%
8°C
70%
9°C
50%
10°C
77%
11°C
70%
12°C
62%
13°C
75%
14°C
70%
15°C
70%
16°C
80%
17°C或更高
79%
16°C 80%
17°C或更高 79%
10°C 77%
13°C 75%
7°C或以下
52%
8°C
70%
9°C
50%
10°C
77%
11°C
70%
12°C
62%
13°C
75%
14°C
70%
15°C
70%
16°C
80%
17°C或更高
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a minimum near 10°C for Buenos Aires on September 2 under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds, close to the early-spring climatological average. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable steering flows and potential for enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling if clouds clear, while recent polar-air intrusions later in the week highlight how quickly cold advection can alter overnight lows. Trader-implied odds clustered near 7–9°C bins reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single dominant signal, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of the daily minimum relative to official observation criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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