**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 21–22°C as the clear leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s September 2 high temperature, aligning closely with the 50.5% and 40.5% market-implied probabilities.** Early September climatology places average daily maxima near 22°C under typical westerly flow and moderate Atlantic influence. Current guidance shows mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, minimal precipitation risk, and afternoon peaks stabilizing in the low 20s Celsius—consistent across recent runs with little model spread. This stable pattern, without strong ridging or incoming fronts, supports the narrow 21–22°C range while rendering higher or lower extremes low-probability outliers. Updated model cycles and observational trends through the final 24–48 hours before resolution will determine any minor adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月2日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
21°C 51%
22°C 38%
20°C 8%
18°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
51%
22°C
38%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 51%
22°C 38%
20°C 8%
18°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C或以下
$285 交易量
<1%
17°C
$348 交易量
<1%
18°C
$119 交易量
2%
19°C
$416 交易量
2%
20°C
$502 交易量
8%
21°C
$785 交易量
51%
22°C
$2,052 交易量
38%
23°C
$293 交易量
2%
24°C
$60 交易量
2%
25°C
$342 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$367 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 21–22°C as the clear leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s September 2 high temperature, aligning closely with the 50.5% and 40.5% market-implied probabilities.**
Early September climatology places average daily maxima near 22°C under typical westerly flow and moderate Atlantic influence. Current guidance shows mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, minimal precipitation risk, and afternoon peaks stabilizing in the low 20s Celsius—consistent across recent runs with little model spread. This stable pattern, without strong ridging or incoming fronts, supports the narrow 21–22°C range while rendering higher or lower extremes low-probability outliers. Updated model cycles and observational trends through the final 24–48 hours before resolution will determine any minor adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,571结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 21–22°C as the clear leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s September 2 high temperature, aligning closely with the 50.5% and 40.5% market-implied probabilities.**
Early September climatology places average daily maxima near 22°C under typical westerly flow and moderate Atlantic influence. Current guidance shows mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, minimal precipitation risk, and afternoon peaks stabilizing in the low 20s Celsius—consistent across recent runs with little model spread. This stable pattern, without strong ridging or incoming fronts, supports the narrow 21–22°C range while rendering higher or lower extremes low-probability outliers. Updated model cycles and observational trends through the final 24–48 hours before resolution will determine any minor adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,571结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 21–22°C as the clear leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s September 2 high temperature, aligning closely with the 50.5% and 40.5% market-implied probabilities.** Early September climatology places average daily maxima near 22°C under typical westerly flow and moderate Atlantic influence. Current guidance shows mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, minimal precipitation risk, and afternoon peaks stabilizing in the low 20s Celsius—consistent across recent runs with little model spread. This stable pattern, without strong ridging or incoming fronts, supports the narrow 21–22°C range while rendering higher or lower extremes low-probability outliers. Updated model cycles and observational trends through the final 24–48 hours before resolution will determine any minor adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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