Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 4 points to overnight lows in the mid-60s, driven by a persistent marine layer and light onshore flow that moderates minimum temperatures near the coast. This aligns with the historical average low of 64.5°F and recent observations showing minima of 62–66°F under similar clear-to-foggy early-September conditions. Trader consensus favoring 64–67°F ranges reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and limited variability in short-range forecasts, while lower or much higher outcomes remain less probable absent an unexpected frontal passage or strengthened offshore flow. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日洛杉矶最低温度?
74°F或以上 40%
66-67°F 37%
68-69°F 34%
64-65°F 32%
55°F或以下
17%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
41%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
15%
74°F或以上
40%
74°F或以上 40%
66-67°F 37%
68-69°F 34%
64-65°F 32%
55°F或以下
17%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
41%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
15%
74°F或以上
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 4 points to overnight lows in the mid-60s, driven by a persistent marine layer and light onshore flow that moderates minimum temperatures near the coast. This aligns with the historical average low of 64.5°F and recent observations showing minima of 62–66°F under similar clear-to-foggy early-September conditions. Trader consensus favoring 64–67°F ranges reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and limited variability in short-range forecasts, while lower or much higher outcomes remain less probable absent an unexpected frontal passage or strengthened offshore flow. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题