Recent observational data and forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico indicate minimum temperatures in Mexico City on September 4 reached approximately 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain and light winds. These conditions, typical of the early rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, limited radiative cooling overnight and aligned with climatological September lows near 13°C. The market's heavy weighting toward 12°C reflects this consensus from official station readings, while the notable share for 7°C or below accounts for historical variability in highland temperature dips during unsettled weather. Updated model runs showing stable overnight conditions reinforced trader positioning ahead of final resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城9月4日的最低温度？
墨西哥城9月4日的最低温度？
7°C或以下 61%
10°C 8%
11°C 5%
8°C <1%
$2,848 交易量
$2,848 交易量
2026-09-04
7°C或以下
61%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
8%
11°C
5%
12°C
53%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
7°C或以下 61%
10°C 8%
11°C 5%
8°C <1%
$2,848 交易量
$2,848 交易量
2026-09-04
7°C或以下
$122 交易量
61%
8°C
$161 交易量
1%
9°C
$239 交易量
1%
10°C
$171 交易量
8%
11°C
$74 交易量
5%
12°C
$1,498 交易量
53%
13°C
$84 交易量
<1%
14°C
$89 交易量
<1%
15°C
$124 交易量
<1%
16°C
$179 交易量
<1%
17°C或更高
$107 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico indicate minimum temperatures in Mexico City on September 4 reached approximately 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain and light winds. These conditions, typical of the early rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, limited radiative cooling overnight and aligned with climatological September lows near 13°C. The market's heavy weighting toward 12°C reflects this consensus from official station readings, while the notable share for 7°C or below accounts for historical variability in highland temperature dips during unsettled weather. Updated model runs showing stable overnight conditions reinforced trader positioning ahead of final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,848结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico indicate minimum temperatures in Mexico City on September 4 reached approximately 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain and light winds. These conditions, typical of the early rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, limited radiative cooling overnight and aligned with climatological September lows near 13°C. The market's heavy weighting toward 12°C reflects this consensus from official station readings, while the notable share for 7°C or below accounts for historical variability in highland temperature dips during unsettled weather. Updated model runs showing stable overnight conditions reinforced trader positioning ahead of final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,848结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent observational data and forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico indicate minimum temperatures in Mexico City on September 4 reached approximately 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain and light winds. These conditions, typical of the early rainy season at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, limited radiative cooling overnight and aligned with climatological September lows near 13°C. The market's heavy weighting toward 12°C reflects this consensus from official station readings, while the notable share for 7°C or below accounts for historical variability in highland temperature dips during unsettled weather. Updated model runs showing stable overnight conditions reinforced trader positioning ahead of final resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题