Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by Yr.no and international agencies, point to Mexico City nighttime lows on September 6 around 12–15 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. These conditions align with the typical late-rainy-season pattern at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where cloud cover and humidity limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Historical September averages hover near 12–14 °C, and no significant cold-air intrusions or model shifts have emerged in the past several days to alter the outlook. The elevated market-implied probability for 17 °C or higher reflects trader weighting of persistent mild steering patterns, while probabilities clustered around 13–15 °C capture the most likely range pending final model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城9月6日的最低温度？
墨西哥城9月6日的最低温度？
7°C或以下 59%
16°C 49%
10°C 35%
15°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
7°C或以下
59%
8°C
19%
9°C
19%
10°C
35%
11°C
20%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
49%
17°C或更高
-
7°C或以下 59%
16°C 49%
10°C 35%
15°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
59%
8°C
$0 交易量
19%
9°C
$0 交易量
19%
10°C
$0 交易量
35%
11°C
$0 交易量
20%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$10 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
28%
16°C
$0 交易量
49%
17°C或更高
$6 交易量
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by Yr.no and international agencies, point to Mexico City nighttime lows on September 6 around 12–15 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. These conditions align with the typical late-rainy-season pattern at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where cloud cover and humidity limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Historical September averages hover near 12–14 °C, and no significant cold-air intrusions or model shifts have emerged in the past several days to alter the outlook. The elevated market-implied probability for 17 °C or higher reflects trader weighting of persistent mild steering patterns, while probabilities clustered around 13–15 °C capture the most likely range pending final model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$16结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by Yr.no and international agencies, point to Mexico City nighttime lows on September 6 around 12–15 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. These conditions align with the typical late-rainy-season pattern at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where cloud cover and humidity limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Historical September averages hover near 12–14 °C, and no significant cold-air intrusions or model shifts have emerged in the past several days to alter the outlook. The elevated market-implied probability for 17 °C or higher reflects trader weighting of persistent mild steering patterns, while probabilities clustered around 13–15 °C capture the most likely range pending final model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by Yr.no and international agencies, point to Mexico City nighttime lows on September 6 around 12–15 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. These conditions align with the typical late-rainy-season pattern at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where cloud cover and humidity limit radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Historical September averages hover near 12–14 °C, and no significant cold-air intrusions or model shifts have emerged in the past several days to alter the outlook. The elevated market-implied probability for 17 °C or higher reflects trader weighting of persistent mild steering patterns, while probabilities clustered around 13–15 °C capture the most likely range pending final model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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