Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Los Angeles on September 4, 2026, indicate a high near 75–81°F under typical early-September marine layer influence, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon sun and southwest winds of 10–15 mph. This pattern, reinforced by recent observations at LAX showing a 76°F high on September 1 and stable onshore flow, positions the 76–77°F range as the most probable outcome while supporting modest probability for 78–79°F if clearing occurs earlier. Historical averages near 76.7°F and absence of anomalous warming or offshore winds further anchor trader expectations around these values, with limited upside risk from the current setup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日洛杉矶气温最高?
76-77°F 54%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 8%
65华氏度或以下
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
2%
84华氏度或更高
2%
76-77°F 54%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 8%
65华氏度或以下
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
2%
84华氏度或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Los Angeles on September 4, 2026, indicate a high near 75–81°F under typical early-September marine layer influence, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon sun and southwest winds of 10–15 mph. This pattern, reinforced by recent observations at LAX showing a 76°F high on September 1 and stable onshore flow, positions the 76–77°F range as the most probable outcome while supporting modest probability for 78–79°F if clearing occurs earlier. Historical averages near 76.7°F and absence of anomalous warming or offshore winds further anchor trader expectations around these values, with limited upside risk from the current setup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题