Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional meteorological agencies indicate a high near 32–34 °C for Chengdu on September 2 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and negligible precipitation. This consensus reflects the influence of a surface high-pressure ridge maintaining subsidence and dry conditions after a recent period of above-normal late-August heat. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market-implied concentration around 33–35 °C while acknowledging typical diurnal variability and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C locally. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational baseline ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日成都气温最高？
9月2日成都气温最高？
34°C 35%
33°C 25%
35°C 24%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
25%
34°C
35%
35°C
24%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 35%
33°C 25%
35°C 24%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
28°C or below
$391 交易量
1%
29°C
$192 交易量
1%
30°C
$330 交易量
3%
31°C
$207 交易量
4%
32°C
$840 交易量
12%
33°C
$217 交易量
25%
34°C
$302 交易量
35%
35°C
$699 交易量
24%
36°C
$247 交易量
3%
37°C
$404 交易量
1%
38°C or higher
$935 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional meteorological agencies indicate a high near 32–34 °C for Chengdu on September 2 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and negligible precipitation. This consensus reflects the influence of a surface high-pressure ridge maintaining subsidence and dry conditions after a recent period of above-normal late-August heat. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market-implied concentration around 33–35 °C while acknowledging typical diurnal variability and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C locally. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational baseline ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,763结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional meteorological agencies indicate a high near 32–34 °C for Chengdu on September 2 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and negligible precipitation. This consensus reflects the influence of a surface high-pressure ridge maintaining subsidence and dry conditions after a recent period of above-normal late-August heat. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market-implied concentration around 33–35 °C while acknowledging typical diurnal variability and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C locally. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational baseline ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,763结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional meteorological agencies indicate a high near 32–34 °C for Chengdu on September 2 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and negligible precipitation. This consensus reflects the influence of a surface high-pressure ridge maintaining subsidence and dry conditions after a recent period of above-normal late-August heat. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market-implied concentration around 33–35 °C while acknowledging typical diurnal variability and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C locally. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational baseline ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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