An approaching Pacific storm system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Seattle's September 2 high temperature, with forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicating widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and southerly winds gusting to 25 mph. These conditions limit solar heating and advect cooler marine air, keeping daytime maxima well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 74°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 64–69°F because small differences in rain onset timing, cloud optical depth, and boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by a few degrees; lighter or later precipitation would favor the upper end of that range, while steadier rain and stronger winds support the lower end. Official guidance as of September 1 projects highs in the mid-to-upper 60s, aligning with the narrow spread in current probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日西雅图最高温度？
9月2日西雅图最高温度？
68-69°F 32%
66-67°F 30%
64-65°F 24%
62-63°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
55°F或以下
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
1%
74°F或更高
<1%
68-69°F 32%
66-67°F 30%
64-65°F 24%
62-63°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
55°F或以下
$50 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$229 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$633 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$402 交易量
3%
62-63°F
$541 交易量
7%
64-65°F
$1,869 交易量
24%
66-67°F
$1,076 交易量
30%
68-69°F
$2,402 交易量
32%
70-71°F
$969 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$260 交易量
1%
74°F或更高
$373 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching Pacific storm system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Seattle's September 2 high temperature, with forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicating widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and southerly winds gusting to 25 mph. These conditions limit solar heating and advect cooler marine air, keeping daytime maxima well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 74°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 64–69°F because small differences in rain onset timing, cloud optical depth, and boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by a few degrees; lighter or later precipitation would favor the upper end of that range, while steadier rain and stronger winds support the lower end. Official guidance as of September 1 projects highs in the mid-to-upper 60s, aligning with the narrow spread in current probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
交易量
$8,803结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching Pacific storm system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Seattle's September 2 high temperature, with forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicating widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and southerly winds gusting to 25 mph. These conditions limit solar heating and advect cooler marine air, keeping daytime maxima well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 74°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 64–69°F because small differences in rain onset timing, cloud optical depth, and boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by a few degrees; lighter or later precipitation would favor the upper end of that range, while steadier rain and stronger winds support the lower end. Official guidance as of September 1 projects highs in the mid-to-upper 60s, aligning with the narrow spread in current probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,803结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ETAn approaching Pacific storm system is the dominant driver behind trader positioning for Seattle's September 2 high temperature, with forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicating widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and southerly winds gusting to 25 mph. These conditions limit solar heating and advect cooler marine air, keeping daytime maxima well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 74°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 64–69°F because small differences in rain onset timing, cloud optical depth, and boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by a few degrees; lighter or later precipitation would favor the upper end of that range, while steadier rain and stronger winds support the lower end. Official guidance as of September 1 projects highs in the mid-to-upper 60s, aligning with the narrow spread in current probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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