Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日西雅图最低气温？
9月2日西雅图最低气温？
52-53°F 89%
54-55°F 89%
58-59°F 89%
60-61°F 88%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
49°F或以下
69%
50-51°F
40%
52-53°F
89%
54-55°F
89%
56-57°F
56%
58-59°F
89%
60-61°F
88%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
19%
68°F或更高
14%
52-53°F 89%
54-55°F 89%
58-59°F 89%
60-61°F 88%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
49°F或以下
$15 交易量
69%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
40%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
89%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
89%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
56%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
89%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
88%
62-63°F
$15 交易量
2%
64-65°F
$5 交易量
19%
66-67°F
$5 交易量
19%
68°F或更高
$5 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$45结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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