Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a high near 84°F for New York City on September 4 under mostly sunny skies and northwest flow following Thursday’s frontal passage. This places the central tendency squarely in the market’s leading 84-85°F bin while leaving room for modest upside or downside depending on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual moisture. September climatology shows typical highs around 80°F, so current conditions reflect above-average but not extreme warmth driven by post-frontal subsidence and seasonal solar angles. The spread across 82-87°F outcomes captures model-to-model differences in timing of peak heating and minor convective development, with traders weighting the most recent deterministic runs most heavily as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日纽约市最高气温？
9月4日纽约市最高气温？
84-85°F 37%
86-87华氏度 37%
82-83°F 30%
78-79华氏度 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
73°F或以下
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
14%
78-79华氏度
20%
80-81华氏度
17%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
37%
86-87华氏度
37%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
17%
92华氏度或更高
10%
84-85°F 37%
86-87华氏度 37%
82-83°F 30%
78-79华氏度 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
73°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
14%
78-79华氏度
$0 交易量
20%
80-81华氏度
$0 交易量
17%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
30%
84-85°F
$71 交易量
37%
86-87华氏度
$0 交易量
37%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
15%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
17%
92华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a high near 84°F for New York City on September 4 under mostly sunny skies and northwest flow following Thursday’s frontal passage. This places the central tendency squarely in the market’s leading 84-85°F bin while leaving room for modest upside or downside depending on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual moisture. September climatology shows typical highs around 80°F, so current conditions reflect above-average but not extreme warmth driven by post-frontal subsidence and seasonal solar angles. The spread across 82-87°F outcomes captures model-to-model differences in timing of peak heating and minor convective development, with traders weighting the most recent deterministic runs most heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$71结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a high near 84°F for New York City on September 4 under mostly sunny skies and northwest flow following Thursday’s frontal passage. This places the central tendency squarely in the market’s leading 84-85°F bin while leaving room for modest upside or downside depending on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual moisture. September climatology shows typical highs around 80°F, so current conditions reflect above-average but not extreme warmth driven by post-frontal subsidence and seasonal solar angles. The spread across 82-87°F outcomes captures model-to-model differences in timing of peak heating and minor convective development, with traders weighting the most recent deterministic runs most heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$71结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a high near 84°F for New York City on September 4 under mostly sunny skies and northwest flow following Thursday’s frontal passage. This places the central tendency squarely in the market’s leading 84-85°F bin while leaving room for modest upside or downside depending on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual moisture. September climatology shows typical highs around 80°F, so current conditions reflect above-average but not extreme warmth driven by post-frontal subsidence and seasonal solar angles. The spread across 82-87°F outcomes captures model-to-model differences in timing of peak heating and minor convective development, with traders weighting the most recent deterministic runs most heavily as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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