Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show persistent clear skies and light northeast winds moderating daytime heating in Qingdao, supporting a highest temperature near 30–31 °C on September 4. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and typical early-September climatology (average highs around 26–28 °C) cap extremes, while radiative warming under minimal cloud cover and low humidity push probabilities toward the upper end of seasonal norms. Close market clustering around 30–32 °C reflects minor model spread in maximum timing and local urban versus coastal gradients, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance most heavily ahead of final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日青岛气温最高？
9月4日青岛气温最高？
31°C 32%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
26°C及以下
3%
27℃
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
23%
31°C
32%
32°C
26%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36℃或以上
5%
31°C 32%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
26°C及以下
$0 交易量
3%
27℃
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$27 交易量
5%
30°C
$0 交易量
23%
31°C
$0 交易量
32%
32°C
$0 交易量
26%
33°C
$0 交易量
12%
34°C
$61 交易量
3%
35°C
$0 交易量
6%
36℃或以上
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show persistent clear skies and light northeast winds moderating daytime heating in Qingdao, supporting a highest temperature near 30–31 °C on September 4. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and typical early-September climatology (average highs around 26–28 °C) cap extremes, while radiative warming under minimal cloud cover and low humidity push probabilities toward the upper end of seasonal norms. Close market clustering around 30–32 °C reflects minor model spread in maximum timing and local urban versus coastal gradients, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance most heavily ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$88结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show persistent clear skies and light northeast winds moderating daytime heating in Qingdao, supporting a highest temperature near 30–31 °C on September 4. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and typical early-September climatology (average highs around 26–28 °C) cap extremes, while radiative warming under minimal cloud cover and low humidity push probabilities toward the upper end of seasonal norms. Close market clustering around 30–32 °C reflects minor model spread in maximum timing and local urban versus coastal gradients, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance most heavily ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$88结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show persistent clear skies and light northeast winds moderating daytime heating in Qingdao, supporting a highest temperature near 30–31 °C on September 4. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and typical early-September climatology (average highs around 26–28 °C) cap extremes, while radiative warming under minimal cloud cover and low humidity push probabilities toward the upper end of seasonal norms. Close market clustering around 30–32 °C reflects minor model spread in maximum timing and local urban versus coastal gradients, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance most heavily ahead of final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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