**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological services project a daily low of approximately 78°F for Dallas on September 4, 2026, under mostly clear skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph and elevated humidity.** This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 78–79°F (42%) and 76–77°F (29%), as persistent warm, moist air from the south limits overnight radiative cooling despite clear conditions. **Key scientific drivers include the absence of a strong cold front or northerly flow, combined with above-average temperatures from recent days that maintain elevated dew points around 72°F.** Historical averages for the date are near 74°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees warmer. Model consensus shows minimal cooling potential, with only slight chances of showers early in the period that would not substantially alter the minimum. **Traders appear to be weighting official guidance and recent model runs heavily, as probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast range.** Any significant shift would require an unexpected change in steering patterns or increased cloud cover, which is not indicated in the latest updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日达拉斯最低温度？
9月4日达拉斯最低温度？
69华氏度或以下 51%
88°F或更高 51%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
69华氏度或以下
51%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
8%
88°F或更高
51%
69华氏度或以下 51%
88°F或更高 51%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
69华氏度或以下
$0 交易量
51%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
15%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
15%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
24%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
29%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
43%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
19%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
8%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
8%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
8%
88°F或更高
$0 交易量
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological services project a daily low of approximately 78°F for Dallas on September 4, 2026, under mostly clear skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph and elevated humidity.** This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 78–79°F (42%) and 76–77°F (29%), as persistent warm, moist air from the south limits overnight radiative cooling despite clear conditions.
**Key scientific drivers include the absence of a strong cold front or northerly flow, combined with above-average temperatures from recent days that maintain elevated dew points around 72°F.** Historical averages for the date are near 74°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees warmer. Model consensus shows minimal cooling potential, with only slight chances of showers early in the period that would not substantially alter the minimum.
**Traders appear to be weighting official guidance and recent model runs heavily, as probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast range.** Any significant shift would require an unexpected change in steering patterns or increased cloud cover, which is not indicated in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological services project a daily low of approximately 78°F for Dallas on September 4, 2026, under mostly clear skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph and elevated humidity.** This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 78–79°F (42%) and 76–77°F (29%), as persistent warm, moist air from the south limits overnight radiative cooling despite clear conditions.
**Key scientific drivers include the absence of a strong cold front or northerly flow, combined with above-average temperatures from recent days that maintain elevated dew points around 72°F.** Historical averages for the date are near 74°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees warmer. Model consensus shows minimal cooling potential, with only slight chances of showers early in the period that would not substantially alter the minimum.
**Traders appear to be weighting official guidance and recent model runs heavily, as probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast range.** Any significant shift would require an unexpected change in steering patterns or increased cloud cover, which is not indicated in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological services project a daily low of approximately 78°F for Dallas on September 4, 2026, under mostly clear skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph and elevated humidity.** This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 78–79°F (42%) and 76–77°F (29%), as persistent warm, moist air from the south limits overnight radiative cooling despite clear conditions. **Key scientific drivers include the absence of a strong cold front or northerly flow, combined with above-average temperatures from recent days that maintain elevated dew points around 72°F.** Historical averages for the date are near 74°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees warmer. Model consensus shows minimal cooling potential, with only slight chances of showers early in the period that would not substantially alter the minimum. **Traders appear to be weighting official guidance and recent model runs heavily, as probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast range.** Any significant shift would require an unexpected change in steering patterns or increased cloud cover, which is not indicated in the latest updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题