Recent forecasts indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and widespread light rain on September 3, driven by a strengthening monsoon trough and possible frontal passage that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions, following a warmer late-August period with highs near 31°C, are expected to cap daytime maxima around 28–30°C according to consensus from regional models, though minor differences in precipitation timing or wind strength could allow brief breaks favoring 31°C. High humidity and dew points near 24–25°C further moderate peaks by enhancing cloud persistence. With market-implied probabilities nearly even between 30°C and 31°C, traders appear to weigh the balance between ongoing suppression from rain versus potential short-lived warming if showers ease earlier than projected, amid typical early-September variability in the Yangtze River Delta.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日上海气温最高？
9月3日上海气温最高？
30°C 40%
31°C 36%
28°C 10%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
10%
30°C
40%
31°C
36%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 36%
28°C 10%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
25°C or below
$281 交易量
<1%
26°C
$138 交易量
1%
27°C
$28 交易量
1%
28°C
$42 交易量
10%
29°C
$79 交易量
10%
30°C
$167 交易量
40%
31°C
$93 交易量
36%
32°C
$38 交易量
5%
33°C
$5 交易量
2%
34°C
$5 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$144 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and widespread light rain on September 3, driven by a strengthening monsoon trough and possible frontal passage that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions, following a warmer late-August period with highs near 31°C, are expected to cap daytime maxima around 28–30°C according to consensus from regional models, though minor differences in precipitation timing or wind strength could allow brief breaks favoring 31°C. High humidity and dew points near 24–25°C further moderate peaks by enhancing cloud persistence. With market-implied probabilities nearly even between 30°C and 31°C, traders appear to weigh the balance between ongoing suppression from rain versus potential short-lived warming if showers ease earlier than projected, amid typical early-September variability in the Yangtze River Delta.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,021结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and widespread light rain on September 3, driven by a strengthening monsoon trough and possible frontal passage that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions, following a warmer late-August period with highs near 31°C, are expected to cap daytime maxima around 28–30°C according to consensus from regional models, though minor differences in precipitation timing or wind strength could allow brief breaks favoring 31°C. High humidity and dew points near 24–25°C further moderate peaks by enhancing cloud persistence. With market-implied probabilities nearly even between 30°C and 31°C, traders appear to weigh the balance between ongoing suppression from rain versus potential short-lived warming if showers ease earlier than projected, amid typical early-September variability in the Yangtze River Delta.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,021结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and widespread light rain on September 3, driven by a strengthening monsoon trough and possible frontal passage that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions, following a warmer late-August period with highs near 31°C, are expected to cap daytime maxima around 28–30°C according to consensus from regional models, though minor differences in precipitation timing or wind strength could allow brief breaks favoring 31°C. High humidity and dew points near 24–25°C further moderate peaks by enhancing cloud persistence. With market-implied probabilities nearly even between 30°C and 31°C, traders appear to weigh the balance between ongoing suppression from rain versus potential short-lived warming if showers ease earlier than projected, amid typical early-September variability in the Yangtze River Delta.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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