Recent forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions over Karachi on September 4, with moderate westerly winds and high humidity suppressing peak heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology, where typical maxima reach 30–32°C amid residual monsoon moisture and cloud cover. Model consensus points to afternoon highs near 30–31°C, consistent with the market’s dominant implied probabilities for those outcomes. Recent upper-level westerly waves have brought light drizzle potential to coastal Sindh without triggering significant cooling or intensification, keeping temperature variance low. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine wind and cloud timing, which traders are monitoring closely for any shifts in the 30–32°C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日卡拉奇的最高温度?
31°C 50%
32°C 29%
30°C 13%
33°C 7%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
50%
32°C
29%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
3%
31°C 50%
32°C 29%
30°C 13%
33°C 7%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
50%
32°C
29%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions over Karachi on September 4, with moderate westerly winds and high humidity suppressing peak heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology, where typical maxima reach 30–32°C amid residual monsoon moisture and cloud cover. Model consensus points to afternoon highs near 30–31°C, consistent with the market’s dominant implied probabilities for those outcomes. Recent upper-level westerly waves have brought light drizzle potential to coastal Sindh without triggering significant cooling or intensification, keeping temperature variance low. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine wind and cloud timing, which traders are monitoring closely for any shifts in the 30–32°C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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