Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate partly cloudy to clear conditions for Incheon on September 3, supporting daily maxima near 30–31°C amid northerly flow and modest humidity after earlier rains. Ensemble runs show limited spread around this range, consistent with early-September climatology slightly above the 26–29°C baseline, while steering patterns and daytime heating rates introduce the main variables distinguishing 30°C from 31°C outcomes. Traders appear to weight official guidance and recent model consensus heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak observed at Incheon stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
31°C 33%
30°C 32%
29°C 19%
32°C 18%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
19%
30°C
32%
31°C
41%
32°C
18%
33°C
13%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 33%
30°C 32%
29°C 19%
32°C 18%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
19%
30°C
32%
31°C
41%
32°C
18%
33°C
13%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate partly cloudy to clear conditions for Incheon on September 3, supporting daily maxima near 30–31°C amid northerly flow and modest humidity after earlier rains. Ensemble runs show limited spread around this range, consistent with early-September climatology slightly above the 26–29°C baseline, while steering patterns and daytime heating rates introduce the main variables distinguishing 30°C from 31°C outcomes. Traders appear to weight official guidance and recent model consensus heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak observed at Incheon stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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