Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies and services including the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS consensus point to a September 5 high near 30–31°C in Shenzhen, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating. Current observations show daytime maxima around 29–30°C amid increasing cloud cover and light rain, consistent with climatological September averages of 30–31°C and reduced extremes relative to peak summer. These factors position 30–31°C as the leading market outcomes at 71.5% combined implied probability, with lower or higher thresholds reflecting model spread on convective timing and any late intensification. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data ahead of September 5 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日深圳气温最高？
9月5日深圳气温最高？
31°C 46%
30°C 25%
29°C 14%
32°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
23°C或以下
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
25%
31°C
46%
32°C
13%
33°C或以上
10%
31°C 46%
30°C 25%
29°C 14%
32°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
4%
25°C
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$4 交易量
4%
28°C
$22 交易量
11%
29°C
$24 交易量
14%
30°C
$0 交易量
25%
31°C
$759 交易量
46%
32°C
$0 交易量
13%
33°C或以上
$11 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies and services including the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS consensus point to a September 5 high near 30–31°C in Shenzhen, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating. Current observations show daytime maxima around 29–30°C amid increasing cloud cover and light rain, consistent with climatological September averages of 30–31°C and reduced extremes relative to peak summer. These factors position 30–31°C as the leading market outcomes at 71.5% combined implied probability, with lower or higher thresholds reflecting model spread on convective timing and any late intensification. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data ahead of September 5 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$819结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies and services including the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS consensus point to a September 5 high near 30–31°C in Shenzhen, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating. Current observations show daytime maxima around 29–30°C amid increasing cloud cover and light rain, consistent with climatological September averages of 30–31°C and reduced extremes relative to peak summer. These factors position 30–31°C as the leading market outcomes at 71.5% combined implied probability, with lower or higher thresholds reflecting model spread on convective timing and any late intensification. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data ahead of September 5 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$819结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies and services including the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS consensus point to a September 5 high near 30–31°C in Shenzhen, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating. Current observations show daytime maxima around 29–30°C amid increasing cloud cover and light rain, consistent with climatological September averages of 30–31°C and reduced extremes relative to peak summer. These factors position 30–31°C as the leading market outcomes at 71.5% combined implied probability, with lower or higher thresholds reflecting model spread on convective timing and any late intensification. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data ahead of September 5 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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