Recent forecasts for Shenzhen show persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and showers on September 4 driven by regional moisture and shifting northwest winds, which limit solar insolation and keep maximum temperatures in the 28–30°C range. Model outputs vary slightly on rainfall timing and intensity, creating uncertainty that differentiates the closely matched market outcomes at 29°C, 28°C, and 30°C; heavier or earlier convection would favor lower highs near 27–28°C, while partial clearing could allow brief peaks near 30°C. This aligns with typical early-September patterns of high humidity and convective activity in South China, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to refine the daily maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日深圳气温最高？
9月4日深圳气温最高？
29°C 28%
28°C 22%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
12%
28°C
22%
29°C
28%
30°C
19%
31°C
7%
32°C或以上
<1%
29°C 28%
28°C 22%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
22°C或以下
$3 交易量
<1%
23°C
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$406 交易量
<1%
25°C
$210 交易量
2%
26°C
$736 交易量
9%
27°C
$1,927 交易量
12%
28°C
$659 交易量
22%
29°C
$335 交易量
28%
30°C
$609 交易量
19%
31°C
$310 交易量
7%
32°C或以上
$375 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen show persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and showers on September 4 driven by regional moisture and shifting northwest winds, which limit solar insolation and keep maximum temperatures in the 28–30°C range. Model outputs vary slightly on rainfall timing and intensity, creating uncertainty that differentiates the closely matched market outcomes at 29°C, 28°C, and 30°C; heavier or earlier convection would favor lower highs near 27–28°C, while partial clearing could allow brief peaks near 30°C. This aligns with typical early-September patterns of high humidity and convective activity in South China, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to refine the daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$5,571结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen show persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and showers on September 4 driven by regional moisture and shifting northwest winds, which limit solar insolation and keep maximum temperatures in the 28–30°C range. Model outputs vary slightly on rainfall timing and intensity, creating uncertainty that differentiates the closely matched market outcomes at 29°C, 28°C, and 30°C; heavier or earlier convection would favor lower highs near 27–28°C, while partial clearing could allow brief peaks near 30°C. This aligns with typical early-September patterns of high humidity and convective activity in South China, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to refine the daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,571结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen show persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and showers on September 4 driven by regional moisture and shifting northwest winds, which limit solar insolation and keep maximum temperatures in the 28–30°C range. Model outputs vary slightly on rainfall timing and intensity, creating uncertainty that differentiates the closely matched market outcomes at 29°C, 28°C, and 30°C; heavier or earlier convection would favor lower highs near 27–28°C, while partial clearing could allow brief peaks near 30°C. This aligns with typical early-September patterns of high humidity and convective activity in South China, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to refine the daily maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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