Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds on September 4, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s °C. High humidity levels near 80% and dew points around 22–24 °C further limit overnight drops by reducing the temperature gradient to the surface. Recent regional moisture from earlier thunderstorm activity and residual circulation has maintained this stable, humid subtropical pattern without a strong cold advection event. Ensemble spreads in guidance reflect minor uncertainties in cloud timing and urban heat effects, keeping trader-implied odds closely aligned across 21–27 °C outcomes while assigning lower weight to extremes below 20 °C or at 28 °C and above. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日深圳最低气温？
9月4日深圳最低气温？
22°C 89%
23°C 89%
21°C 88%
25°C 88%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
20°C或以下
69%
21°C
88%
22°C
89%
23°C
89%
24°C
86%
25°C
88%
26°C
88%
27°C
88%
28°C
55%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
59%
22°C 89%
23°C 89%
21°C 88%
25°C 88%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
69%
21°C
$0 交易量
88%
22°C
$0 交易量
89%
23°C
$0 交易量
89%
24°C
$0 交易量
86%
25°C
$0 交易量
88%
26°C
$0 交易量
88%
27°C
$0 交易量
88%
28°C
$0 交易量
55%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds on September 4, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s °C. High humidity levels near 80% and dew points around 22–24 °C further limit overnight drops by reducing the temperature gradient to the surface. Recent regional moisture from earlier thunderstorm activity and residual circulation has maintained this stable, humid subtropical pattern without a strong cold advection event. Ensemble spreads in guidance reflect minor uncertainties in cloud timing and urban heat effects, keeping trader-implied odds closely aligned across 21–27 °C outcomes while assigning lower weight to extremes below 20 °C or at 28 °C and above. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds on September 4, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s °C. High humidity levels near 80% and dew points around 22–24 °C further limit overnight drops by reducing the temperature gradient to the surface. Recent regional moisture from earlier thunderstorm activity and residual circulation has maintained this stable, humid subtropical pattern without a strong cold advection event. Ensemble spreads in guidance reflect minor uncertainties in cloud timing and urban heat effects, keeping trader-implied odds closely aligned across 21–27 °C outcomes while assigning lower weight to extremes below 20 °C or at 28 °C and above. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models for Shenzhen indicate mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds on September 4, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s °C. High humidity levels near 80% and dew points around 22–24 °C further limit overnight drops by reducing the temperature gradient to the surface. Recent regional moisture from earlier thunderstorm activity and residual circulation has maintained this stable, humid subtropical pattern without a strong cold advection event. Ensemble spreads in guidance reflect minor uncertainties in cloud timing and urban heat effects, keeping trader-implied odds closely aligned across 21–27 °C outcomes while assigning lower weight to extremes below 20 °C or at 28 °C and above. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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