**Forecast models indicate a high around 21–24°C for Cape Town on September 5, 2026, under clearing high-pressure conditions following a cooler, windy front on September 3.** Recent observations show temperatures rising after Thursday’s rain and strong southeast winds (gusts to ~74 km/h) that kept the daily maximum near 16–17°C. By September 4–5, subsidence and clearing skies are expected to allow daytime heating, with light-to-moderate southeast winds and minimal cloud cover supporting maxima in the low-to-mid 20s °C. Multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks near 21–24°C (e.g., 69–74 °F or ~21–23 °C in several global and regional models), consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region. The market’s leading 24 °C outcome (36.5 % implied probability) and nearby 22–23 °C bins reflect this tight model consensus, while lower-probability tails capture residual uncertainty in exact wind strength, timing of clearing, or minor model spread. No significant warm or cold advection is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping extremes (below 20 °C or above 26 °C) at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日开普敦气温最高？
9月5日开普敦气温最高？
24°C 42%
23°C 33%
25°C 22%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
8%
21°C
11%
22°C
16%
23°C
33%
24°C
42%
25°C
22%
26°C
11%
27°C
9%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C或更高
8%
24°C 42%
23°C 33%
25°C 22%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
$205 交易量
8%
21°C
$54 交易量
11%
22°C
$0 交易量
16%
23°C
$0 交易量
33%
24°C
$114 交易量
42%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$0 交易量
11%
27°C
$0 交易量
9%
28°C
$50 交易量
8%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a high around 21–24°C for Cape Town on September 5, 2026, under clearing high-pressure conditions following a cooler, windy front on September 3.**
Recent observations show temperatures rising after Thursday’s rain and strong southeast winds (gusts to ~74 km/h) that kept the daily maximum near 16–17°C. By September 4–5, subsidence and clearing skies are expected to allow daytime heating, with light-to-moderate southeast winds and minimal cloud cover supporting maxima in the low-to-mid 20s °C. Multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks near 21–24°C (e.g., 69–74 °F or ~21–23 °C in several global and regional models), consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region.
The market’s leading 24 °C outcome (36.5 % implied probability) and nearby 22–23 °C bins reflect this tight model consensus, while lower-probability tails capture residual uncertainty in exact wind strength, timing of clearing, or minor model spread. No significant warm or cold advection is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping extremes (below 20 °C or above 26 °C) at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$423结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a high around 21–24°C for Cape Town on September 5, 2026, under clearing high-pressure conditions following a cooler, windy front on September 3.**
Recent observations show temperatures rising after Thursday’s rain and strong southeast winds (gusts to ~74 km/h) that kept the daily maximum near 16–17°C. By September 4–5, subsidence and clearing skies are expected to allow daytime heating, with light-to-moderate southeast winds and minimal cloud cover supporting maxima in the low-to-mid 20s °C. Multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks near 21–24°C (e.g., 69–74 °F or ~21–23 °C in several global and regional models), consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region.
The market’s leading 24 °C outcome (36.5 % implied probability) and nearby 22–23 °C bins reflect this tight model consensus, while lower-probability tails capture residual uncertainty in exact wind strength, timing of clearing, or minor model spread. No significant warm or cold advection is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping extremes (below 20 °C or above 26 °C) at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$423结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models indicate a high around 21–24°C for Cape Town on September 5, 2026, under clearing high-pressure conditions following a cooler, windy front on September 3.** Recent observations show temperatures rising after Thursday’s rain and strong southeast winds (gusts to ~74 km/h) that kept the daily maximum near 16–17°C. By September 4–5, subsidence and clearing skies are expected to allow daytime heating, with light-to-moderate southeast winds and minimal cloud cover supporting maxima in the low-to-mid 20s °C. Multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks near 21–24°C (e.g., 69–74 °F or ~21–23 °C in several global and regional models), consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region. The market’s leading 24 °C outcome (36.5 % implied probability) and nearby 22–23 °C bins reflect this tight model consensus, while lower-probability tails capture residual uncertainty in exact wind strength, timing of clearing, or minor model spread. No significant warm or cold advection is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping extremes (below 20 °C or above 26 °C) at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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