Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 20–22°C for Warsaw on September 5, with westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers expected to limit daytime heating under surface pressures near 1010–1012 hPa. These conditions align with the seasonal decline from late-summer peaks, matching historical September averages of roughly 18–20°C daily highs at Chopin Airport. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 21°C and combined 94.5% weight on 20–22°C, tracks this model agreement while acknowledging minor spread from precipitation timing and wind gusts up to 30 km/h. Resolution depends on official maximum readings, with no major synoptic shifts anticipated before the 24-hour window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日华沙最高气温？
9月5日华沙最高气温？
21°C 45%
20°C 28%
22°C 23%
19°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
28%
21°C
45%
22°C
23%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
21°C 45%
20°C 28%
22°C 23%
19°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
$71 交易量
2%
19°C
$146 交易量
5%
20°C
$1,090 交易量
28%
21°C
$1,282 交易量
45%
22°C
$413 交易量
23%
23°C
$61 交易量
3%
24°C
$137 交易量
1%
25°C
$191 交易量
1%
26°C
$165 交易量
<1%
27°C
$194 交易量
<1%
28°C或更高
$194 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 20–22°C for Warsaw on September 5, with westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers expected to limit daytime heating under surface pressures near 1010–1012 hPa. These conditions align with the seasonal decline from late-summer peaks, matching historical September averages of roughly 18–20°C daily highs at Chopin Airport. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 21°C and combined 94.5% weight on 20–22°C, tracks this model agreement while acknowledging minor spread from precipitation timing and wind gusts up to 30 km/h. Resolution depends on official maximum readings, with no major synoptic shifts anticipated before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,942结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 20–22°C for Warsaw on September 5, with westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers expected to limit daytime heating under surface pressures near 1010–1012 hPa. These conditions align with the seasonal decline from late-summer peaks, matching historical September averages of roughly 18–20°C daily highs at Chopin Airport. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 21°C and combined 94.5% weight on 20–22°C, tracks this model agreement while acknowledging minor spread from precipitation timing and wind gusts up to 30 km/h. Resolution depends on official maximum readings, with no major synoptic shifts anticipated before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,942结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 20–22°C for Warsaw on September 5, with westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers expected to limit daytime heating under surface pressures near 1010–1012 hPa. These conditions align with the seasonal decline from late-summer peaks, matching historical September averages of roughly 18–20°C daily highs at Chopin Airport. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 21°C and combined 94.5% weight on 20–22°C, tracks this model agreement while acknowledging minor spread from precipitation timing and wind gusts up to 30 km/h. Resolution depends on official maximum readings, with no major synoptic shifts anticipated before the 24-hour window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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