**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 4 likely in the 14–16°C range, with notable uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and wind patterns that traders appear to weigh evenly.** Short-range guidance from multiple sources shows daytime highs near 21°C under increasing clouds and a 40–65% chance of rain, with overnight lows projected around 14–16°C as a frontal system moves through. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical mins near 10–12°C but elevated by recent warmth) while reflecting a cooling trend from late-August conditions. Key variables include radiative cooling under any clear spells versus moderation from rain, higher humidity, and moderate southwest winds (15–25 km/h) that limit surface inversions. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in exact rain onset and low-level moisture, keeping outcomes near 14–16°C competitive with both cooler (<13°C) and warmer (>17°C) possibilities. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日华沙最低气温？
9月4日华沙最低气温？
18°C 89%
13°C 88%
14°C 88%
15°C 88%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
49%
13°C
88%
14°C
88%
15°C
88%
16°C
88%
17°C
88%
18°C
89%
19°C
88%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
49%
18°C 89%
13°C 88%
14°C 88%
15°C 88%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
49%
13°C
$0 交易量
88%
14°C
$0 交易量
88%
15°C
$0 交易量
88%
16°C
$0 交易量
88%
17°C
$0 交易量
88%
18°C
$0 交易量
89%
19°C
$0 交易量
88%
20°C
$0 交易量
8%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 4 likely in the 14–16°C range, with notable uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and wind patterns that traders appear to weigh evenly.**
Short-range guidance from multiple sources shows daytime highs near 21°C under increasing clouds and a 40–65% chance of rain, with overnight lows projected around 14–16°C as a frontal system moves through. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical mins near 10–12°C but elevated by recent warmth) while reflecting a cooling trend from late-August conditions. Key variables include radiative cooling under any clear spells versus moderation from rain, higher humidity, and moderate southwest winds (15–25 km/h) that limit surface inversions. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in exact rain onset and low-level moisture, keeping outcomes near 14–16°C competitive with both cooler (<13°C) and warmer (>17°C) possibilities. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 4 likely in the 14–16°C range, with notable uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and wind patterns that traders appear to weigh evenly.**
Short-range guidance from multiple sources shows daytime highs near 21°C under increasing clouds and a 40–65% chance of rain, with overnight lows projected around 14–16°C as a frontal system moves through. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical mins near 10–12°C but elevated by recent warmth) while reflecting a cooling trend from late-August conditions. Key variables include radiative cooling under any clear spells versus moderation from rain, higher humidity, and moderate southwest winds (15–25 km/h) that limit surface inversions. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in exact rain onset and low-level moisture, keeping outcomes near 14–16°C competitive with both cooler (<13°C) and warmer (>17°C) possibilities. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 4 likely in the 14–16°C range, with notable uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and wind patterns that traders appear to weigh evenly.** Short-range guidance from multiple sources shows daytime highs near 21°C under increasing clouds and a 40–65% chance of rain, with overnight lows projected around 14–16°C as a frontal system moves through. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical mins near 10–12°C but elevated by recent warmth) while reflecting a cooling trend from late-August conditions. Key variables include radiative cooling under any clear spells versus moderation from rain, higher humidity, and moderate southwest winds (15–25 km/h) that limit surface inversions. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in exact rain onset and low-level moisture, keeping outcomes near 14–16°C competitive with both cooler (<13°C) and warmer (>17°C) possibilities. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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