**Model consensus from sources like GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local Polish meteorological services points to a minimum temperature of 14–15°C overnight into September 2 in Warsaw under stable high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa.** Light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s and partly cloudy to clear skies will favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C, with dew points around 13°C limiting further drops. Multiple forecasts (e.g., Yr.no hourly profiles, Worldmeteo, and Meteoatlas) cluster in this narrow range, reflecting typical early-September conditions with no significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to suppress cooling. Trader-implied odds favor 13°C (57%) and 14°C (44.5%) as the most likely exact lowest readings, consistent with slight downward adjustments some models apply for urban heat-island effects or localized valleys in the Warsaw area. Higher outcomes like 18°C (40%) or 15°C (32.5%) receive lower weight, aligning with the absence of warmer southerly flow or increased cloudiness that could raise overnight minima. Historical September baselines show average lows near 10–12°C, but current synoptic setup supports values several degrees above that. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, with consistent dry conditions (near-zero precipitation probability) and stable pressure maintaining the outlook. The next key updates will come from refined 00Z/12Z model runs and official IMGW briefings on September 2 morning, which could adjust probabilities if any unexpected stratus or wind changes develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日华沙最低气温？
9月2日华沙最低气温？
18°C 73%
10°C 62%
15°C 61%
13°C 55%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
9°C or below
5%
10°C
62%
11°C
17%
12°C
28%
13°C
55%
14°C
46%
15°C
61%
16°C
15%
17°C
14%
18°C
73%
19°C or higher
14%
18°C 73%
10°C 62%
15°C 61%
13°C 55%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
9°C or below
$5 交易量
5%
10°C
$69 交易量
62%
11°C
$0 交易量
17%
12°C
$0 交易量
28%
13°C
$0 交易量
55%
14°C
$0 交易量
46%
15°C
$0 交易量
61%
16°C
$15 交易量
15%
17°C
$20 交易量
14%
18°C
$5 交易量
73%
19°C or higher
$5 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from sources like GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local Polish meteorological services points to a minimum temperature of 14–15°C overnight into September 2 in Warsaw under stable high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa.** Light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s and partly cloudy to clear skies will favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C, with dew points around 13°C limiting further drops. Multiple forecasts (e.g., Yr.no hourly profiles, Worldmeteo, and Meteoatlas) cluster in this narrow range, reflecting typical early-September conditions with no significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to suppress cooling.
Trader-implied odds favor 13°C (57%) and 14°C (44.5%) as the most likely exact lowest readings, consistent with slight downward adjustments some models apply for urban heat-island effects or localized valleys in the Warsaw area. Higher outcomes like 18°C (40%) or 15°C (32.5%) receive lower weight, aligning with the absence of warmer southerly flow or increased cloudiness that could raise overnight minima. Historical September baselines show average lows near 10–12°C, but current synoptic setup supports values several degrees above that.
No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, with consistent dry conditions (near-zero precipitation probability) and stable pressure maintaining the outlook. The next key updates will come from refined 00Z/12Z model runs and official IMGW briefings on September 2 morning, which could adjust probabilities if any unexpected stratus or wind changes develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$119结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from sources like GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local Polish meteorological services points to a minimum temperature of 14–15°C overnight into September 2 in Warsaw under stable high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa.** Light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s and partly cloudy to clear skies will favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C, with dew points around 13°C limiting further drops. Multiple forecasts (e.g., Yr.no hourly profiles, Worldmeteo, and Meteoatlas) cluster in this narrow range, reflecting typical early-September conditions with no significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to suppress cooling.
Trader-implied odds favor 13°C (57%) and 14°C (44.5%) as the most likely exact lowest readings, consistent with slight downward adjustments some models apply for urban heat-island effects or localized valleys in the Warsaw area. Higher outcomes like 18°C (40%) or 15°C (32.5%) receive lower weight, aligning with the absence of warmer southerly flow or increased cloudiness that could raise overnight minima. Historical September baselines show average lows near 10–12°C, but current synoptic setup supports values several degrees above that.
No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, with consistent dry conditions (near-zero precipitation probability) and stable pressure maintaining the outlook. The next key updates will come from refined 00Z/12Z model runs and official IMGW briefings on September 2 morning, which could adjust probabilities if any unexpected stratus or wind changes develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$119结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Model consensus from sources like GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local Polish meteorological services points to a minimum temperature of 14–15°C overnight into September 2 in Warsaw under stable high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa.** Light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s and partly cloudy to clear skies will favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C, with dew points around 13°C limiting further drops. Multiple forecasts (e.g., Yr.no hourly profiles, Worldmeteo, and Meteoatlas) cluster in this narrow range, reflecting typical early-September conditions with no significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to suppress cooling. Trader-implied odds favor 13°C (57%) and 14°C (44.5%) as the most likely exact lowest readings, consistent with slight downward adjustments some models apply for urban heat-island effects or localized valleys in the Warsaw area. Higher outcomes like 18°C (40%) or 15°C (32.5%) receive lower weight, aligning with the absence of warmer southerly flow or increased cloudiness that could raise overnight minima. Historical September baselines show average lows near 10–12°C, but current synoptic setup supports values several degrees above that. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, with consistent dry conditions (near-zero precipitation probability) and stable pressure maintaining the outlook. The next key updates will come from refined 00Z/12Z model runs and official IMGW briefings on September 2 morning, which could adjust probabilities if any unexpected stratus or wind changes develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题