Current forecasts for Warsaw on September 3 point to overnight lows of 14–16°C under moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and stable high pressure, limiting strong radiative cooling. These conditions favor minimum temperatures in the mid-teens, consistent with seasonal norms for early September in central Poland. Market pricing of substantial probability on 9–13°C outcomes reflects trader focus on model spread in boundary-layer mixing, potential for clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, and uncertainty around any passing weak fronts or showers. Upcoming updated runs from global and regional models will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日华沙最低气温？
9月3日华沙最低气温？
19°C or higher 44%
9°C or below 38%
13°C 30%
12°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
9°C or below
38%
10°C
11%
11°C
22%
12°C
30%
13°C
30%
14°C
23%
15°C
23%
16°C
22%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
44%
19°C or higher 44%
9°C or below 38%
13°C 30%
12°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
9°C or below
$0 交易量
38%
10°C
$0 交易量
11%
11°C
$0 交易量
22%
12°C
$0 交易量
30%
13°C
$0 交易量
30%
14°C
$0 交易量
23%
15°C
$0 交易量
23%
16°C
$5 交易量
22%
17°C
$5 交易量
4%
18°C
$5 交易量
2%
19°C or higher
$5 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Warsaw on September 3 point to overnight lows of 14–16°C under moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and stable high pressure, limiting strong radiative cooling. These conditions favor minimum temperatures in the mid-teens, consistent with seasonal norms for early September in central Poland. Market pricing of substantial probability on 9–13°C outcomes reflects trader focus on model spread in boundary-layer mixing, potential for clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, and uncertainty around any passing weak fronts or showers. Upcoming updated runs from global and regional models will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Warsaw on September 3 point to overnight lows of 14–16°C under moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and stable high pressure, limiting strong radiative cooling. These conditions favor minimum temperatures in the mid-teens, consistent with seasonal norms for early September in central Poland. Market pricing of substantial probability on 9–13°C outcomes reflects trader focus on model spread in boundary-layer mixing, potential for clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, and uncertainty around any passing weak fronts or showers. Upcoming updated runs from global and regional models will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts for Warsaw on September 3 point to overnight lows of 14–16°C under moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and stable high pressure, limiting strong radiative cooling. These conditions favor minimum temperatures in the mid-teens, consistent with seasonal norms for early September in central Poland. Market pricing of substantial probability on 9–13°C outcomes reflects trader focus on model spread in boundary-layer mixing, potential for clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, and uncertainty around any passing weak fronts or showers. Upcoming updated runs from global and regional models will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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