Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show a moderating westerly flow over Poland with partly cloudy skies and light showers possible overnight into September 6, limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 10–12°C in Warsaw. Recent surface observations indicate dew points near 10–12°C and sustained winds of 10–15 mph, which reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 10°C while also capping upside potential above 13°C under the current synoptic pattern. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, with resolution hinging on exact cloud cover and any localized clearing that could enhance cooling before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日华沙最低气温？
9月6日华沙最低气温？
8°C或更低 49%
18°C或更高 49%
12°C 36%
13°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
8°C或更低
49%
9°C
7%
10°C
29%
11°C
32%
12°C
36%
13°C
28%
14°C
15%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C或更高
49%
8°C或更低 49%
18°C或更高 49%
12°C 36%
13°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
8°C或更低
$3 交易量
49%
9°C
$0 交易量
7%
10°C
$2 交易量
29%
11°C
$0 交易量
32%
12°C
$0 交易量
36%
13°C
$3 交易量
28%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C
$0 交易量
6%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show a moderating westerly flow over Poland with partly cloudy skies and light showers possible overnight into September 6, limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 10–12°C in Warsaw. Recent surface observations indicate dew points near 10–12°C and sustained winds of 10–15 mph, which reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 10°C while also capping upside potential above 13°C under the current synoptic pattern. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, with resolution hinging on exact cloud cover and any localized clearing that could enhance cooling before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$8结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show a moderating westerly flow over Poland with partly cloudy skies and light showers possible overnight into September 6, limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 10–12°C in Warsaw. Recent surface observations indicate dew points near 10–12°C and sustained winds of 10–15 mph, which reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 10°C while also capping upside potential above 13°C under the current synoptic pattern. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, with resolution hinging on exact cloud cover and any localized clearing that could enhance cooling before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show a moderating westerly flow over Poland with partly cloudy skies and light showers possible overnight into September 6, limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 10–12°C in Warsaw. Recent surface observations indicate dew points near 10–12°C and sustained winds of 10–15 mph, which reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 10°C while also capping upside potential above 13°C under the current synoptic pattern. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, with resolution hinging on exact cloud cover and any localized clearing that could enhance cooling before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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