**Forecast consensus for Chengdu on September 6 centers on a high of 33–35°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering of probabilities around those levels.** Subtropical high pressure has maintained clear to partly cloudy conditions through early September, supporting daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s amid typical monsoon-season humidity. Recent model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) show modest afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers possible, which could cap the peak below 36°C while preventing a sharp drop to the low 30s. Historical September averages begin near 28–32°C before declining, and 2026 upper-decile warmth has kept values elevated but not extreme. Official Chengdu meteorological station readings at 14:00 local time will determine resolution, with final updates from the China Meteorological Administration expected in the next 24–48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日成都气温最高？
9月6日成都气温最高？
34°C 27%
33°C 23%
35°C 19%
36°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
9%
33°C
23%
34°C
27%
35°C
21%
36°C
18%
37°C或更高
4%
34°C 27%
33°C 23%
35°C 19%
36°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$170 交易量
3%
31°C
$0 交易量
5%
32°C
$0 交易量
9%
33°C
$2 交易量
23%
34°C
$265 交易量
27%
35°C
$65 交易量
21%
36°C
$70 交易量
18%
37°C或更高
$103 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Chengdu on September 6 centers on a high of 33–35°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering of probabilities around those levels.** Subtropical high pressure has maintained clear to partly cloudy conditions through early September, supporting daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s amid typical monsoon-season humidity. Recent model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) show modest afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers possible, which could cap the peak below 36°C while preventing a sharp drop to the low 30s. Historical September averages begin near 28–32°C before declining, and 2026 upper-decile warmth has kept values elevated but not extreme. Official Chengdu meteorological station readings at 14:00 local time will determine resolution, with final updates from the China Meteorological Administration expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$675结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Chengdu on September 6 centers on a high of 33–35°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering of probabilities around those levels.** Subtropical high pressure has maintained clear to partly cloudy conditions through early September, supporting daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s amid typical monsoon-season humidity. Recent model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) show modest afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers possible, which could cap the peak below 36°C while preventing a sharp drop to the low 30s. Historical September averages begin near 28–32°C before declining, and 2026 upper-decile warmth has kept values elevated but not extreme. Official Chengdu meteorological station readings at 14:00 local time will determine resolution, with final updates from the China Meteorological Administration expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$675结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast consensus for Chengdu on September 6 centers on a high of 33–35°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering of probabilities around those levels.** Subtropical high pressure has maintained clear to partly cloudy conditions through early September, supporting daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s amid typical monsoon-season humidity. Recent model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) show modest afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers possible, which could cap the peak below 36°C while preventing a sharp drop to the low 30s. Historical September averages begin near 28–32°C before declining, and 2026 upper-decile warmth has kept values elevated but not extreme. Official Chengdu meteorological station readings at 14:00 local time will determine resolution, with final updates from the China Meteorological Administration expected in the next 24–48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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