Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services point to clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4 following rain and stronger northeasterly winds on the 3rd, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–33 °C. Post-frontal subsidence and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance daytime solar heating in the Yangtze River valley’s humid subtropical regime, where typical early-September diurnal ranges reach 8–12 °C. Model consensus currently favors afternoon maxima near 31–32 °C, with slight upside potential if boundary-layer mixing remains limited. Traders will monitor the next official Wuhan Municipal Meteorological Bureau update and any revisions to 48-hour guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日武汉气温最高？
9月4日武汉气温最高？
32°C 31%
33°C 25%
31°C 15%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
15%
32°C
31%
33°C
25%
34°C
10%
35°C或更高
5%
32°C 31%
33°C 25%
31°C 15%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
25°C或以下
$102 交易量
<1%
26°C
$95 交易量
1%
27°C
$95 交易量
1%
28°C
$172 交易量
2%
29°C
$50 交易量
3%
30°C
$20 交易量
9%
31°C
$0 交易量
15%
32°C
$0 交易量
31%
33°C
$44 交易量
25%
34°C
$43 交易量
10%
35°C或更高
$65 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services point to clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4 following rain and stronger northeasterly winds on the 3rd, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–33 °C. Post-frontal subsidence and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance daytime solar heating in the Yangtze River valley’s humid subtropical regime, where typical early-September diurnal ranges reach 8–12 °C. Model consensus currently favors afternoon maxima near 31–32 °C, with slight upside potential if boundary-layer mixing remains limited. Traders will monitor the next official Wuhan Municipal Meteorological Bureau update and any revisions to 48-hour guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$688结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services point to clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4 following rain and stronger northeasterly winds on the 3rd, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–33 °C. Post-frontal subsidence and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance daytime solar heating in the Yangtze River valley’s humid subtropical regime, where typical early-September diurnal ranges reach 8–12 °C. Model consensus currently favors afternoon maxima near 31–32 °C, with slight upside potential if boundary-layer mixing remains limited. Traders will monitor the next official Wuhan Municipal Meteorological Bureau update and any revisions to 48-hour guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$688结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from regional meteorological services point to clearing skies over Wuhan on September 4 following rain and stronger northeasterly winds on the 3rd, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–33 °C. Post-frontal subsidence and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance daytime solar heating in the Yangtze River valley’s humid subtropical regime, where typical early-September diurnal ranges reach 8–12 °C. Model consensus currently favors afternoon maxima near 31–32 °C, with slight upside potential if boundary-layer mixing remains limited. Traders will monitor the next official Wuhan Municipal Meteorological Bureau update and any revisions to 48-hour guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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