**Forecast models and observational trends position 20–24°C as the most probable range for Wuhan's lowest temperature on September 4.** Clear skies and light northeast winds are expected to promote moderate overnight radiative cooling following recent cloudy, rainy conditions on September 2–3, while daytime highs near 30–31°C limit extreme drops. Multiple sources, including local meteorological outlooks and international models, converge on lows of 19–23°C (roughly 66–73°F), aligning with early-September climatology for the region where average overnight minima hover near 24°C but can dip under clearer, drier air. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, with the highest implied probabilities clustered around 20–23°C and very low odds below 19°C or above 26°C, indicating limited uncertainty in the short-range guidance ahead of the overnight minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日武汉最低气温?
24°C 81%
22°C 77%
25°C 71%
21°C 70%
18°C或以下
10%
19°C
9%
20°C
44%
21°C
70%
22°C
77%
23°C
55%
24°C
81%
25°C
71%
26°C
70%
27°C
2%
28°C或更高
69%
24°C 81%
22°C 77%
25°C 71%
21°C 70%
18°C或以下
10%
19°C
9%
20°C
44%
21°C
70%
22°C
77%
23°C
55%
24°C
81%
25°C
71%
26°C
70%
27°C
2%
28°C或更高
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models and observational trends position 20–24°C as the most probable range for Wuhan's lowest temperature on September 4.** Clear skies and light northeast winds are expected to promote moderate overnight radiative cooling following recent cloudy, rainy conditions on September 2–3, while daytime highs near 30–31°C limit extreme drops. Multiple sources, including local meteorological outlooks and international models, converge on lows of 19–23°C (roughly 66–73°F), aligning with early-September climatology for the region where average overnight minima hover near 24°C but can dip under clearer, drier air. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, with the highest implied probabilities clustered around 20–23°C and very low odds below 19°C or above 26°C, indicating limited uncertainty in the short-range guidance ahead of the overnight minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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