Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of early September 2, indicate a high of 19–22°C for Amsterdam on September 4 under predominantly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 10–20 m/s and widespread rain or showers. These conditions suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's concentration on 21–23°C outcomes (over 94% combined implied probability) near the early-September climatological average of ~20°C. Stable model consensus and the approaching landfall of a mild Atlantic air mass reinforce this range, though any late clearing could push toward the upper end while heavier precipitation would favor the lower. Updated short-range guidance and official KNMI briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月4日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
22°C 52%
21°C 23%
23°C 20%
20°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
23%
22°C
52%
23°C
20%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
<1%
22°C 52%
21°C 23%
23°C 20%
20°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
17°C或以下
$138 交易量
1%
18°C
$90 交易量
1%
19°C
$145 交易量
2%
20°C
$121 交易量
4%
21°C
$277 交易量
23%
22°C
$701 交易量
52%
23°C
$348 交易量
20%
24°C
$140 交易量
3%
25°C
$23 交易量
1%
26°C
$70 交易量
1%
27°C或以上
$171 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of early September 2, indicate a high of 19–22°C for Amsterdam on September 4 under predominantly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 10–20 m/s and widespread rain or showers. These conditions suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's concentration on 21–23°C outcomes (over 94% combined implied probability) near the early-September climatological average of ~20°C. Stable model consensus and the approaching landfall of a mild Atlantic air mass reinforce this range, though any late clearing could push toward the upper end while heavier precipitation would favor the lower. Updated short-range guidance and official KNMI briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,224结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of early September 2, indicate a high of 19–22°C for Amsterdam on September 4 under predominantly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 10–20 m/s and widespread rain or showers. These conditions suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's concentration on 21–23°C outcomes (over 94% combined implied probability) near the early-September climatological average of ~20°C. Stable model consensus and the approaching landfall of a mild Atlantic air mass reinforce this range, though any late clearing could push toward the upper end while heavier precipitation would favor the lower. Updated short-range guidance and official KNMI briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,224结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of early September 2, indicate a high of 19–22°C for Amsterdam on September 4 under predominantly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 10–20 m/s and widespread rain or showers. These conditions suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's concentration on 21–23°C outcomes (over 94% combined implied probability) near the early-September climatological average of ~20°C. Stable model consensus and the approaching landfall of a mild Atlantic air mass reinforce this range, though any late clearing could push toward the upper end while heavier precipitation would favor the lower. Updated short-range guidance and official KNMI briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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