Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on 4 September under mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow. This steering pattern advects cooler maritime air, suppressing the stronger daytime heating seen on 3 September and keeping values close to early-September climatology. Light showers or drizzle early in the day may further limit insolation, while afternoon clearing remains uncertain. Trader consensus therefore clusters on 21–23 °C, reflecting the narrow spread among deterministic and probabilistic forecasts issued in the past 24–48 hours. Updated model cycles and any shift in cloud cover or wind direction will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日伦敦气温最高？
9月4日伦敦气温最高？
22°C 45%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
25%
22°C
45%
23°C
22%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
22°C 45%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
17°C或以下
$248 交易量
<1%
18°C
$231 交易量
1%
19°C
$113 交易量
2%
20°C
$393 交易量
4%
21°C
$711 交易量
25%
22°C
$809 交易量
45%
23°C
$683 交易量
22%
24°C
$877 交易量
5%
25°C
$280 交易量
1%
26°C
$263 交易量
<1%
27°C或更高
$287 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on 4 September under mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow. This steering pattern advects cooler maritime air, suppressing the stronger daytime heating seen on 3 September and keeping values close to early-September climatology. Light showers or drizzle early in the day may further limit insolation, while afternoon clearing remains uncertain. Trader consensus therefore clusters on 21–23 °C, reflecting the narrow spread among deterministic and probabilistic forecasts issued in the past 24–48 hours. Updated model cycles and any shift in cloud cover or wind direction will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$4,896结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on 4 September under mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow. This steering pattern advects cooler maritime air, suppressing the stronger daytime heating seen on 3 September and keeping values close to early-September climatology. Light showers or drizzle early in the day may further limit insolation, while afternoon clearing remains uncertain. Trader consensus therefore clusters on 21–23 °C, reflecting the narrow spread among deterministic and probabilistic forecasts issued in the past 24–48 hours. Updated model cycles and any shift in cloud cover or wind direction will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,896结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on 4 September under mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow. This steering pattern advects cooler maritime air, suppressing the stronger daytime heating seen on 3 September and keeping values close to early-September climatology. Light showers or drizzle early in the day may further limit insolation, while afternoon clearing remains uncertain. Trader consensus therefore clusters on 21–23 °C, reflecting the narrow spread among deterministic and probabilistic forecasts issued in the past 24–48 hours. Updated model cycles and any shift in cloud cover or wind direction will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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