Recent Met Office forecasts for London on September 4 highlight clearing skies after morning rain and easing westerly winds, which favor enhanced radiative cooling overnight and support a minimum near 13°C. Key variables differentiating trader-favored outcomes around 16–17°C include urban heat island effects from the city’s built environment, which can add 1–3°C compared with rural stations, versus precise timing of cloud cover dissipation and wind speeds below 5 m/s that accelerate temperature drops. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and advection from the Atlantic, creating uncertainty between 14–17°C ranges. Historical September minima average 11–13°C, providing baseline context as traders weigh official station data against potential measurement revisions before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日伦敦最低气温？
9月4日伦敦最低气温？
17°C 42%
16°C 28%
18°C 13%
20°C 2.7%
$10,362 交易量
$10,362 交易量
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
40%
17°C
31%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
17°C 42%
16°C 28%
18°C 13%
20°C 2.7%
$10,362 交易量
$10,362 交易量
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
$79 交易量
<1%
13°C
$102 交易量
<1%
14°C
$302 交易量
1%
15°C
$487 交易量
2%
16°C
$1,026 交易量
40%
17°C
$1,003 交易量
31%
18°C
$1,593 交易量
8%
19°C
$714 交易量
2%
20°C
$4,261 交易量
3%
21°C
$353 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$442 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on September 4 highlight clearing skies after morning rain and easing westerly winds, which favor enhanced radiative cooling overnight and support a minimum near 13°C. Key variables differentiating trader-favored outcomes around 16–17°C include urban heat island effects from the city’s built environment, which can add 1–3°C compared with rural stations, versus precise timing of cloud cover dissipation and wind speeds below 5 m/s that accelerate temperature drops. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and advection from the Atlantic, creating uncertainty between 14–17°C ranges. Historical September minima average 11–13°C, providing baseline context as traders weigh official station data against potential measurement revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,362结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on September 4 highlight clearing skies after morning rain and easing westerly winds, which favor enhanced radiative cooling overnight and support a minimum near 13°C. Key variables differentiating trader-favored outcomes around 16–17°C include urban heat island effects from the city’s built environment, which can add 1–3°C compared with rural stations, versus precise timing of cloud cover dissipation and wind speeds below 5 m/s that accelerate temperature drops. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and advection from the Atlantic, creating uncertainty between 14–17°C ranges. Historical September minima average 11–13°C, providing baseline context as traders weigh official station data against potential measurement revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,362结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts for London on September 4 highlight clearing skies after morning rain and easing westerly winds, which favor enhanced radiative cooling overnight and support a minimum near 13°C. Key variables differentiating trader-favored outcomes around 16–17°C include urban heat island effects from the city’s built environment, which can add 1–3°C compared with rural stations, versus precise timing of cloud cover dissipation and wind speeds below 5 m/s that accelerate temperature drops. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and advection from the Atlantic, creating uncertainty between 14–17°C ranges. Historical September minima average 11–13°C, providing baseline context as traders weigh official station data against potential measurement revisions before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题