Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF highlight radiative cooling under building high pressure and lighter winds as the main driver positioning 10–14°C outcomes as market leaders for London's minimum on September 5. Clearer overnight skies and a northwesterly flow are expected to limit cloud cover, allowing temperatures to fall below the 12–13°C seasonal average for early September, though model spreads still include milder scenarios near 15°C if residual moisture persists. Traders appear to weigh the elevated probability of sub-14°C readings against historical precedents where similar setups produced brief dips toward 10°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日伦敦最低气温？
9月5日伦敦最低气温？
14°C 41%
13°C 32%
10°C或以下 24%
16°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
10°C或以下
24%
11°C
11%
12°C
14%
13°C
32%
14°C
43%
15°C
14%
16°C
23%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C或更高
14%
14°C 41%
13°C 32%
10°C或以下 24%
16°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
24%
11°C
$20 交易量
11%
12°C
$0 交易量
14%
13°C
$73 交易量
32%
14°C
$99 交易量
43%
15°C
$0 交易量
14%
16°C
$0 交易量
23%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C或更高
$0 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF highlight radiative cooling under building high pressure and lighter winds as the main driver positioning 10–14°C outcomes as market leaders for London's minimum on September 5. Clearer overnight skies and a northwesterly flow are expected to limit cloud cover, allowing temperatures to fall below the 12–13°C seasonal average for early September, though model spreads still include milder scenarios near 15°C if residual moisture persists. Traders appear to weigh the elevated probability of sub-14°C readings against historical precedents where similar setups produced brief dips toward 10°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$192结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF highlight radiative cooling under building high pressure and lighter winds as the main driver positioning 10–14°C outcomes as market leaders for London's minimum on September 5. Clearer overnight skies and a northwesterly flow are expected to limit cloud cover, allowing temperatures to fall below the 12–13°C seasonal average for early September, though model spreads still include milder scenarios near 15°C if residual moisture persists. Traders appear to weigh the elevated probability of sub-14°C readings against historical precedents where similar setups produced brief dips toward 10°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$192结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF highlight radiative cooling under building high pressure and lighter winds as the main driver positioning 10–14°C outcomes as market leaders for London's minimum on September 5. Clearer overnight skies and a northwesterly flow are expected to limit cloud cover, allowing temperatures to fall below the 12–13°C seasonal average for early September, though model spreads still include milder scenarios near 15°C if residual moisture persists. Traders appear to weigh the elevated probability of sub-14°C readings against historical precedents where similar setups produced brief dips toward 10°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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