Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature in Busan on September 4 most likely between 27–29°C, driven by strengthening northeasterly winds and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions on September 2. Northeast flow advects cooler maritime air while moderate to strong winds (15–20 mph or higher in some runs) enhance mixing and reduce surface maxima, with partial cloudiness and light drizzle potential further suppressing solar insolation. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, but short-term variability from pressure gradients and moisture can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Traders favor 28–29°C outcomes as model consensus narrows around these values ahead of final observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日釜山气温最高?
29°C 42%
28°C 33%
30°C 14%
27°C 11%
23°C或以下
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
33%
29°C
34%
30°C
14%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C或更高
1%
29°C 42%
28°C 33%
30°C 14%
27°C 11%
23°C或以下
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
33%
29°C
34%
30°C
14%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature in Busan on September 4 most likely between 27–29°C, driven by strengthening northeasterly winds and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions on September 2. Northeast flow advects cooler maritime air while moderate to strong winds (15–20 mph or higher in some runs) enhance mixing and reduce surface maxima, with partial cloudiness and light drizzle potential further suppressing solar insolation. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, but short-term variability from pressure gradients and moisture can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Traders favor 28–29°C outcomes as model consensus narrows around these values ahead of final observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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