Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles points to a September 2 daytime high in Busan near 30–32 °C, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, humid air from the East China Sea amid weak steering patterns and initially limited cloud cover. Increasing moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms later in the day, with 30–40 % rain probabilities, introduce cooling potential that tempers the upper end of projections. Market-implied odds place 32 °C at 46 % and 33 °C at 24.5 % because traders emphasize the warmer ensemble members and recent late-August observations exceeding 30 °C, while 31 °C holds 18.5 % amid climatological averages near 28–29 °C for early September. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of resolution will refine these ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日釜山气温最高？
9月2日釜山气温最高？
32°C 45%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
20%
32°C
45%
33°C
24%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C或更高
1%
32°C 45%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
27°C or below
$839 交易量
1%
28°C
$265 交易量
2%
29°C
$444 交易量
2%
30°C
$329 交易量
4%
31°C
$653 交易量
20%
32°C
$103 交易量
45%
33°C
$117 交易量
24%
34°C
$123 交易量
6%
35°C
$38 交易量
4%
36°C
$191 交易量
2%
37°C或更高
$82 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles points to a September 2 daytime high in Busan near 30–32 °C, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, humid air from the East China Sea amid weak steering patterns and initially limited cloud cover. Increasing moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms later in the day, with 30–40 % rain probabilities, introduce cooling potential that tempers the upper end of projections. Market-implied odds place 32 °C at 46 % and 33 °C at 24.5 % because traders emphasize the warmer ensemble members and recent late-August observations exceeding 30 °C, while 31 °C holds 18.5 % amid climatological averages near 28–29 °C for early September. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of resolution will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,184结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles points to a September 2 daytime high in Busan near 30–32 °C, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, humid air from the East China Sea amid weak steering patterns and initially limited cloud cover. Increasing moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms later in the day, with 30–40 % rain probabilities, introduce cooling potential that tempers the upper end of projections. Market-implied odds place 32 °C at 46 % and 33 °C at 24.5 % because traders emphasize the warmer ensemble members and recent late-August observations exceeding 30 °C, while 31 °C holds 18.5 % amid climatological averages near 28–29 °C for early September. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of resolution will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,184结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles points to a September 2 daytime high in Busan near 30–32 °C, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, humid air from the East China Sea amid weak steering patterns and initially limited cloud cover. Increasing moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms later in the day, with 30–40 % rain probabilities, introduce cooling potential that tempers the upper end of projections. Market-implied odds place 32 °C at 46 % and 33 °C at 24.5 % because traders emphasize the warmer ensemble members and recent late-August observations exceeding 30 °C, while 31 °C holds 18.5 % amid climatological averages near 28–29 °C for early September. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of resolution will refine these ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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