Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight clearing skies and strengthening daytime heating as the main driver behind the market's 48.5% implied probability for a 37°C high on September 6. Subtropical conditions with light southeast winds, low humidity around 30-40%, and minimal cloud cover are expected to support peak temperatures in the 36-38°C range, consistent with model consensus from sources like Yr and local observations. Recent days have already seen highs climbing toward 35-36°C under similar patterns, positioning 37°C as the modal outcome while leaving room for minor revisions from updated model runs or localized variations within the urban basin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日重庆气温最高?
37°C 49%
36°C 25%
38°C 15%
35°C 9%
31°C或以下
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
25%
37°C
49%
38°C
15%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C或更高
2%
37°C 49%
36°C 25%
38°C 15%
35°C 9%
31°C或以下
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
25%
37°C
49%
38°C
15%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight clearing skies and strengthening daytime heating as the main driver behind the market's 48.5% implied probability for a 37°C high on September 6. Subtropical conditions with light southeast winds, low humidity around 30-40%, and minimal cloud cover are expected to support peak temperatures in the 36-38°C range, consistent with model consensus from sources like Yr and local observations. Recent days have already seen highs climbing toward 35-36°C under similar patterns, positioning 37°C as the modal outcome while leaving room for minor revisions from updated model runs or localized variations within the urban basin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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