Recent forecasts from sources including Yr, Ventusky, and local Chinese meteorological outlooks place Chongqing's September 6 minimum near 25–27 °C under continued high pressure, light southeast winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling. This positions 25 °C and adjacent bins as competitive outcomes, while the elevated 50 % market weight on 21 °C or below appears driven by traders pricing in model spread and the approaching mid-week frontal passage that will sharply lower temperatures later in the week. Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows around 24 °C, with clear conditions favoring modest further drops but rarely reaching the sub-22 °C range before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the 6th will be the next key data points likely to shift these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日重庆最低气温？
9月6日重庆最低气温？
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
21℃或以下
45%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
44%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
21℃或以下
$0 交易量
45%
22°C
$0 交易量
49%
23°C
$0 交易量
49%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
29%
27°C
$0 交易量
49%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Yr, Ventusky, and local Chinese meteorological outlooks place Chongqing's September 6 minimum near 25–27 °C under continued high pressure, light southeast winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling. This positions 25 °C and adjacent bins as competitive outcomes, while the elevated 50 % market weight on 21 °C or below appears driven by traders pricing in model spread and the approaching mid-week frontal passage that will sharply lower temperatures later in the week. Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows around 24 °C, with clear conditions favoring modest further drops but rarely reaching the sub-22 °C range before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the 6th will be the next key data points likely to shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Yr, Ventusky, and local Chinese meteorological outlooks place Chongqing's September 6 minimum near 25–27 °C under continued high pressure, light southeast winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling. This positions 25 °C and adjacent bins as competitive outcomes, while the elevated 50 % market weight on 21 °C or below appears driven by traders pricing in model spread and the approaching mid-week frontal passage that will sharply lower temperatures later in the week. Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows around 24 °C, with clear conditions favoring modest further drops but rarely reaching the sub-22 °C range before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the 6th will be the next key data points likely to shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including Yr, Ventusky, and local Chinese meteorological outlooks place Chongqing's September 6 minimum near 25–27 °C under continued high pressure, light southeast winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling. This positions 25 °C and adjacent bins as competitive outcomes, while the elevated 50 % market weight on 21 °C or below appears driven by traders pricing in model spread and the approaching mid-week frontal passage that will sharply lower temperatures later in the week. Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows around 24 °C, with clear conditions favoring modest further drops but rarely reaching the sub-22 °C range before the seasonal transition accelerates. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the 6th will be the next key data points likely to shift these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题