Trader consensus centers on 30°C as Munich's peak temperature for September 4, with 29°C a close second, reflecting tight ensemble spreads in the latest ECMWF and ICON model runs that place maximums near the 29–30°C threshold under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Warm southerly advection and limited cloud cover are expected to support daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site could add 0.5–1°C locally; however, any increase in boundary-layer moisture or earlier onset of afternoon convection would cap readings closer to 29°C. Historical September baselines for Munich average 20–22°C, making this outlier warmth notable. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official DWD forecasts issued overnight will likely refine the final outcome before markets close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日慕尼黑的最高温度？
9月4日慕尼黑的最高温度？
30°C 43%
29°C 36%
31°C 13%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
36%
30°C
43%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C或更高
1%
30°C 43%
29°C 36%
31°C 13%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
$141 交易量
1%
24°C
$194 交易量
<1%
25°C
$123 交易量
<1%
26°C
$7 交易量
<1%
27°C
$261 交易量
2%
28°C
$408 交易量
6%
29°C
$1,356 交易量
36%
30°C
$1,014 交易量
43%
31°C
$365 交易量
13%
32°C
$252 交易量
3%
33°C或更高
$72 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 30°C as Munich's peak temperature for September 4, with 29°C a close second, reflecting tight ensemble spreads in the latest ECMWF and ICON model runs that place maximums near the 29–30°C threshold under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Warm southerly advection and limited cloud cover are expected to support daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site could add 0.5–1°C locally; however, any increase in boundary-layer moisture or earlier onset of afternoon convection would cap readings closer to 29°C. Historical September baselines for Munich average 20–22°C, making this outlier warmth notable. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official DWD forecasts issued overnight will likely refine the final outcome before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,193结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 30°C as Munich's peak temperature for September 4, with 29°C a close second, reflecting tight ensemble spreads in the latest ECMWF and ICON model runs that place maximums near the 29–30°C threshold under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Warm southerly advection and limited cloud cover are expected to support daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site could add 0.5–1°C locally; however, any increase in boundary-layer moisture or earlier onset of afternoon convection would cap readings closer to 29°C. Historical September baselines for Munich average 20–22°C, making this outlier warmth notable. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official DWD forecasts issued overnight will likely refine the final outcome before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,193结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader consensus centers on 30°C as Munich's peak temperature for September 4, with 29°C a close second, reflecting tight ensemble spreads in the latest ECMWF and ICON model runs that place maximums near the 29–30°C threshold under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Warm southerly advection and limited cloud cover are expected to support daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site could add 0.5–1°C locally; however, any increase in boundary-layer moisture or earlier onset of afternoon convection would cap readings closer to 29°C. Historical September baselines for Munich average 20–22°C, making this outlier warmth notable. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official DWD forecasts issued overnight will likely refine the final outcome before markets close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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