**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6 under clear skies, moderate northeast winds, and dry conditions.** This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 29°C leading at 43.5% and 30°C close behind at 38%, reflecting minor differences in how models resolve peak afternoon heating or slight station variations between Seoul and Incheon. Recent days have featured above-average highs near 29–30°C amid stable high pressure, with no significant frontal activity or cloud cover expected to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average lower (around 25–27°C), supporting the current elevated outlook, though ensemble spreads allow for a possible 28°C or 30–31°C outcome depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
9月6日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
29°C 44%
30°C 39%
28°C 14%
31°C 6%
最新
$11,619 交易量
最新
$11,619 交易量
2026-09-06
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
44%
30°C
39%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C或以上
2%
29°C 44%
30°C 39%
28°C 14%
31°C 6%
最新
$11,619 交易量
最新
$11,619 交易量
2026-09-06
23°C或以下
$10,387 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
2%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C
$0 交易量
3%
27°C
$73 交易量
4%
28°C
$182 交易量
14%
29°C
$306 交易量
44%
30°C
$403 交易量
39%
31°C
$130 交易量
6%
32°C
$138 交易量
2%
33°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6 under clear skies, moderate northeast winds, and dry conditions.** This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 29°C leading at 43.5% and 30°C close behind at 38%, reflecting minor differences in how models resolve peak afternoon heating or slight station variations between Seoul and Incheon. Recent days have featured above-average highs near 29–30°C amid stable high pressure, with no significant frontal activity or cloud cover expected to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average lower (around 25–27°C), supporting the current elevated outlook, though ensemble spreads allow for a possible 28°C or 30–31°C outcome depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$11,619结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6 under clear skies, moderate northeast winds, and dry conditions.** This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 29°C leading at 43.5% and 30°C close behind at 38%, reflecting minor differences in how models resolve peak afternoon heating or slight station variations between Seoul and Incheon. Recent days have featured above-average highs near 29–30°C amid stable high pressure, with no significant frontal activity or cloud cover expected to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average lower (around 25–27°C), supporting the current elevated outlook, though ensemble spreads allow for a possible 28°C or 30–31°C outcome depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,619结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6 under clear skies, moderate northeast winds, and dry conditions.** This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 29°C leading at 43.5% and 30°C close behind at 38%, reflecting minor differences in how models resolve peak afternoon heating or slight station variations between Seoul and Incheon. Recent days have featured above-average highs near 29–30°C amid stable high pressure, with no significant frontal activity or cloud cover expected to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average lower (around 25–27°C), supporting the current elevated outlook, though ensemble spreads allow for a possible 28°C or 30–31°C outcome depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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