Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers from the southwest monsoon (habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila's daytime highs near 28–30°C on September 8. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF show widespread overcast skies, high humidity above 80%, and scattered to widespread precipitation throughout the day, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. This aligns with typical September climatology during peak monsoon activity, when average highs hover around 31°C but often fall lower under sustained rain. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28–30°C because small differences in rain timing or intensity across models could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while extremes below 26°C or above 32°C remain unlikely absent an unexpected break in the monsoon or typhoon influence. Updated model runs and Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration briefings will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日马尼拉的最高温度？
9月8日马尼拉的最高温度？
29°C 22%
26°C 17%
28°C 16%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
10%
28°C
16%
29°C
22%
30°C
16%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C或更高
2%
29°C 22%
26°C 17%
28°C 16%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
17%
27°C
$2 交易量
10%
28°C
$0 交易量
16%
29°C
$0 交易量
22%
30°C
$14 交易量
16%
31°C
$0 交易量
10%
32°C
$0 交易量
4%
33°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers from the southwest monsoon (habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila's daytime highs near 28–30°C on September 8. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF show widespread overcast skies, high humidity above 80%, and scattered to widespread precipitation throughout the day, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. This aligns with typical September climatology during peak monsoon activity, when average highs hover around 31°C but often fall lower under sustained rain. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28–30°C because small differences in rain timing or intensity across models could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while extremes below 26°C or above 32°C remain unlikely absent an unexpected break in the monsoon or typhoon influence. Updated model runs and Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration briefings will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$16结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers from the southwest monsoon (habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila's daytime highs near 28–30°C on September 8. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF show widespread overcast skies, high humidity above 80%, and scattered to widespread precipitation throughout the day, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. This aligns with typical September climatology during peak monsoon activity, when average highs hover around 31°C but often fall lower under sustained rain. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28–30°C because small differences in rain timing or intensity across models could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while extremes below 26°C or above 32°C remain unlikely absent an unexpected break in the monsoon or typhoon influence. Updated model runs and Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration briefings will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent cloud cover and frequent showers from the southwest monsoon (habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila's daytime highs near 28–30°C on September 8. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF show widespread overcast skies, high humidity above 80%, and scattered to widespread precipitation throughout the day, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. This aligns with typical September climatology during peak monsoon activity, when average highs hover around 31°C but often fall lower under sustained rain. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28–30°C because small differences in rain timing or intensity across models could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while extremes below 26°C or above 32°C remain unlikely absent an unexpected break in the monsoon or typhoon influence. Updated model runs and Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration briefings will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题