Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 8 minimum will likely fall between 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that moderates overnight cooling. Typical rainy-season conditions produce average lows near 25°C, with model consensus pointing to similar values unless localized clearing allows greater radiational cooling or heavier rain suppresses temperatures further. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, as small shifts in wind patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data influencing final trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日马尼拉的最低温度？
9月8日马尼拉的最低温度？
26°C 50%
27°C 48%
28°C 48%
25°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
27%
24°C
31%
25°C
34%
26°C
33%
27°C
48%
28°C
48%
29°C
19%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
1%
26°C 50%
27°C 48%
28°C 48%
25°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
22°C
$0 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
27%
24°C
$0 交易量
31%
25°C
$0 交易量
34%
26°C
$6 交易量
33%
27°C
$0 交易量
48%
28°C
$0 交易量
48%
29°C
$0 交易量
19%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 8 minimum will likely fall between 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that moderates overnight cooling. Typical rainy-season conditions produce average lows near 25°C, with model consensus pointing to similar values unless localized clearing allows greater radiational cooling or heavier rain suppresses temperatures further. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, as small shifts in wind patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data influencing final trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$6结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 8 minimum will likely fall between 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that moderates overnight cooling. Typical rainy-season conditions produce average lows near 25°C, with model consensus pointing to similar values unless localized clearing allows greater radiational cooling or heavier rain suppresses temperatures further. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, as small shifts in wind patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data influencing final trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's September 8 minimum will likely fall between 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that moderates overnight cooling. Typical rainy-season conditions produce average lows near 25°C, with model consensus pointing to similar values unless localized clearing allows greater radiational cooling or heavier rain suppresses temperatures further. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, as small shifts in wind patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data influencing final trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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