**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers associated with the retreating monsoon are the main factors capping daytime highs in Lucknow near 30–31 °C on September 6.** Official and model guidance from sources including the India Meteorological Department, NHC-analog regional forecasts, and global ensembles show easterly flow, dew points near 27 °C, and 60–80 % rain probability, which limits solar heating and prevents temperatures from climbing into the mid-30s. Recent observations confirm this pattern: maximum temperatures have hovered around 30–32 °C with frequent afternoon convection, consistent with September climatology but tempered by above-normal moisture. These conditions produce a narrow distribution centered on 30–31 °C, directly supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes while assigning low probability to 33 °C or higher. Updated model runs and the next IMD briefing will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日勒克瑙的最高温度？
9月6日勒克瑙的最高温度？
31°C 43%
30°C 31%
32°C 13%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
31%
31°C
43%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C或更高
2%
31°C 43%
30°C 31%
32°C 13%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
$395 交易量
<1%
25°C
$135 交易量
<1%
26°C
$262 交易量
<1%
27°C
$160 交易量
1%
28°C
$174 交易量
3%
29°C
$468 交易量
8%
30°C
$99 交易量
31%
31°C
$227 交易量
43%
32°C
$58 交易量
13%
33°C
$0 交易量
4%
34°C或更高
$83 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers associated with the retreating monsoon are the main factors capping daytime highs in Lucknow near 30–31 °C on September 6.** Official and model guidance from sources including the India Meteorological Department, NHC-analog regional forecasts, and global ensembles show easterly flow, dew points near 27 °C, and 60–80 % rain probability, which limits solar heating and prevents temperatures from climbing into the mid-30s. Recent observations confirm this pattern: maximum temperatures have hovered around 30–32 °C with frequent afternoon convection, consistent with September climatology but tempered by above-normal moisture. These conditions produce a narrow distribution centered on 30–31 °C, directly supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes while assigning low probability to 33 °C or higher. Updated model runs and the next IMD briefing will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,061结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers associated with the retreating monsoon are the main factors capping daytime highs in Lucknow near 30–31 °C on September 6.** Official and model guidance from sources including the India Meteorological Department, NHC-analog regional forecasts, and global ensembles show easterly flow, dew points near 27 °C, and 60–80 % rain probability, which limits solar heating and prevents temperatures from climbing into the mid-30s. Recent observations confirm this pattern: maximum temperatures have hovered around 30–32 °C with frequent afternoon convection, consistent with September climatology but tempered by above-normal moisture. These conditions produce a narrow distribution centered on 30–31 °C, directly supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes while assigning low probability to 33 °C or higher. Updated model runs and the next IMD briefing will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,061结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers associated with the retreating monsoon are the main factors capping daytime highs in Lucknow near 30–31 °C on September 6.** Official and model guidance from sources including the India Meteorological Department, NHC-analog regional forecasts, and global ensembles show easterly flow, dew points near 27 °C, and 60–80 % rain probability, which limits solar heating and prevents temperatures from climbing into the mid-30s. Recent observations confirm this pattern: maximum temperatures have hovered around 30–32 °C with frequent afternoon convection, consistent with September climatology but tempered by above-normal moisture. These conditions produce a narrow distribution centered on 30–31 °C, directly supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes while assigning low probability to 33 °C or higher. Updated model runs and the next IMD briefing will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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