**Forecast models from sources like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Yr) and PredictWind consistently indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C for Ankara on September 4, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions with negligible precipitation risk.** This places the outcome squarely in the market’s leading probabilities for 28°C (42.5%) and 29°C (36.5%), reflecting trader consensus on minor model-to-model differences in peak afternoon heating. Early September climatology shows average highs near 26–27°C, so the current pattern represents modestly above-normal warmth driven by persistent sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations confirm the setup, with highs of 30–31°C on September 2–3 and no significant frontal systems or moisture expected to alter the trajectory before the target date. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish meteorological stations, where small variations in timing or localized heating could distinguish between 28°C and 29°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日安卡拉的最高温度？
9月4日安卡拉的最高温度？
28°C 40%
29°C 37%
27°C 14%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
14%
28°C
40%
29°C
37%
30°C
9%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
1%
28°C 40%
29°C 37%
27°C 14%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$20 交易量
4%
26°C
$10 交易量
3%
27°C
$91 交易量
14%
28°C
$159 交易量
40%
29°C
$196 交易量
37%
30°C
$37 交易量
9%
31°C
$63 交易量
5%
32°C
$0 交易量
3%
33°C
$0 交易量
1%
34°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Yr) and PredictWind consistently indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C for Ankara on September 4, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions with negligible precipitation risk.** This places the outcome squarely in the market’s leading probabilities for 28°C (42.5%) and 29°C (36.5%), reflecting trader consensus on minor model-to-model differences in peak afternoon heating.
Early September climatology shows average highs near 26–27°C, so the current pattern represents modestly above-normal warmth driven by persistent sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations confirm the setup, with highs of 30–31°C on September 2–3 and no significant frontal systems or moisture expected to alter the trajectory before the target date. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish meteorological stations, where small variations in timing or localized heating could distinguish between 28°C and 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$577结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Yr) and PredictWind consistently indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C for Ankara on September 4, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions with negligible precipitation risk.** This places the outcome squarely in the market’s leading probabilities for 28°C (42.5%) and 29°C (36.5%), reflecting trader consensus on minor model-to-model differences in peak afternoon heating.
Early September climatology shows average highs near 26–27°C, so the current pattern represents modestly above-normal warmth driven by persistent sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations confirm the setup, with highs of 30–31°C on September 2–3 and no significant frontal systems or moisture expected to alter the trajectory before the target date. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish meteorological stations, where small variations in timing or localized heating could distinguish between 28°C and 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$577结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast models from sources like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Yr) and PredictWind consistently indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C for Ankara on September 4, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions with negligible precipitation risk.** This places the outcome squarely in the market’s leading probabilities for 28°C (42.5%) and 29°C (36.5%), reflecting trader consensus on minor model-to-model differences in peak afternoon heating. Early September climatology shows average highs near 26–27°C, so the current pattern represents modestly above-normal warmth driven by persistent sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations confirm the setup, with highs of 30–31°C on September 2–3 and no significant frontal systems or moisture expected to alter the trajectory before the target date. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish meteorological stations, where small variations in timing or localized heating could distinguish between 28°C and 29°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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