Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a nighttime low around 16–17°C for Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure, which supports moderate radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection. This places the outcome near historical early-September averages (roughly 13–14°C lows) yet warmer than recent cooler anomalies in late August. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below bin at 48% implied probability likely reflects lingering uncertainty in model spread and potential for localized cooling in suburban stations, while the 24°C-or-higher tail captures upside risk if daytime heat lingers into evening. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日安卡拉最低气温？
9月3日安卡拉最低气温？
24°C或更高 89%
14°C或以下 48%
18°C 46%
21°C 42%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
14°C或以下
48%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
46%
19°C
30%
20°C
30%
21°C
42%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C或更高
89%
24°C或更高 89%
14°C或以下 48%
18°C 46%
21°C 42%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
48%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
27%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C
$5 交易量
46%
19°C
$5 交易量
30%
20°C
$5 交易量
30%
21°C
$5 交易量
42%
22°C
$5 交易量
7%
23°C
$5 交易量
7%
24°C或更高
$5 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a nighttime low around 16–17°C for Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure, which supports moderate radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection. This places the outcome near historical early-September averages (roughly 13–14°C lows) yet warmer than recent cooler anomalies in late August. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below bin at 48% implied probability likely reflects lingering uncertainty in model spread and potential for localized cooling in suburban stations, while the 24°C-or-higher tail captures upside risk if daytime heat lingers into evening. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$35结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a nighttime low around 16–17°C for Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure, which supports moderate radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection. This places the outcome near historical early-September averages (roughly 13–14°C lows) yet warmer than recent cooler anomalies in late August. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below bin at 48% implied probability likely reflects lingering uncertainty in model spread and potential for localized cooling in suburban stations, while the 24°C-or-higher tail captures upside risk if daytime heat lingers into evening. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a nighttime low around 16–17°C for Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure, which supports moderate radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection. This places the outcome near historical early-September averages (roughly 13–14°C lows) yet warmer than recent cooler anomalies in late August. Trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-below bin at 48% implied probability likely reflects lingering uncertainty in model spread and potential for localized cooling in suburban stations, while the 24°C-or-higher tail captures upside risk if daytime heat lingers into evening. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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